Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Nuxeria Esport - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd343afe85123798a7833300d61c702efc2a69ada7ba899cb46f2401365940c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Esprit Shōnenof Esprit Shōnen, Nuxeria Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nuxeria Esport | 42c | 2,477$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.87 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Nuxeria Esport | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Nuxeria Esport | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Esprit Shōnen | 67c | 1,424$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.75 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked Nuxeria Esport | 1c | 1,350$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nuxeria Esport | 35c | 1,059$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.23 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Nuxeria Esport | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Esprit Shōnen | 47c | 996.33$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.69 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Nuxeria Esport | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Esprit Shōnen | 56c | 630.59$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.55 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nuxeria Esport | 41c | 605.85$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.51 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Nuxeria Esport | 29c | 351.76$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Nuxeria Esport | 55c | 274.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Esprit Shōnen | 66c | 253.78$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.42 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0737…fe78backed Nuxeria Esport | 43c | 245.25$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Esprit Shōnen | 47c | 241.74$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.29 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Nuxeria Esport | 26c | 240.18$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Nuxeria Esport | 8c | 216.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Nuxeria Esport | 28c | 211.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…ec1ebacked Nuxeria Esport | 32c | 151.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Esprit Shōnen | 77c | 141.26$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Nuxeria Esport | 29c | 120.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nuxeria Esport | 20c | 119.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Esprit Shōnen | 55c | 116.76$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nuxeria Esport | 26c | 115.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Esprit Shōnen | 64c | 102.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Esprit Shōnen | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Nuxeria Esport | 23c | 97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Esprit Shōnen | 63c | 93.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…2117backed Nuxeria Esport | 44c | 88.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081f…d5c0backed Esprit Shōnen | 53c | 62.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Nuxeria Esport | 19c | 53.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Esprit Shōnen | 48c | 23.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Nuxeria Esport - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Nuxeria Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular SeasonNuxeria Esport won
- Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Nuxeria Esport - Map 1 WinnerNuxeria Esport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.