Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Raducanu (-1.5) vs Rakhimova (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ac598b0f7da3068fb4e89b3be15c4d07caae304dcf72533219942fc1e1d8ccc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raducanuof Raducanu, Rakhimova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Rakhimova | 38c | 8,418$3,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,194.21 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Raducanu | 62c | 8,066$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.18 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Rakhimova | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.98 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…bf76backed Raducanu | 62c | 1,505$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.27 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Raducanu | 55c | 1,215$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.71 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Rakhimova | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Raducanu | 62c | 994.51$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.91 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rakhimova | 47c | 924.86$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.68 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Rakhimova | 39c | 817.36$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.77 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Raducanu | 61c | 800$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Raducanu | 62c | 639.19$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.19 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Rakhimova | 40c | 599.99$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.44 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Raducanu | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Rakhimova | 41c | 374.37$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.46 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d5…5639backed Raducanu | 61c | 309.98$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6c…d56cbacked Raducanu | 61c | 294.91$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.4 | 244 | 51.6%126 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Raducanu | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Rakhimova | 47c | 211.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Rakhimova | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Raducanu | 50c | 124.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Rakhimova | 40c | 101.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Raducanu | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Rakhimova | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Rakhimova | 39c | 98.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Rakhimova | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Raducanu | 61c | 81.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Raducanu | 58c | 71.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Raducanu | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Rakhimova | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Rakhimova | 40c | 49.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Raducanu | 68c | 48.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Raducanu | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Raducanu | 52c | 47.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Rakhimova | 43c | 40.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Rakhimova | 42c | 40.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Raducanu | 60c | 39.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Rakhimova | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Raducanu | 61c | 32.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Raducanu | 57c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Rakhimova | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2500…4688backed Raducanu | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 94 | 61.7%58 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Raducanu | 57c | 18.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Raducanu (-1.5) vs Rakhimova (+1.5)this page
- HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla RakhimovaEmma Raducanu won
- Set 1 Winner: Raducanu vs RakhimovaRaducanu won
- Set 2 Winner: Raducanu vs RakhimovaRaducanu won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.