TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,173
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,125

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,173 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Yes41c9,335$3,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,539.112,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Yes68c7,339$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,338.721850%9 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No47c3,503$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650.0396846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes23c2,180$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.847834.6%27 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes23c2,175$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675.438834.1%30 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed88…e838backed No73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked No71c1,831$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-46.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked No71c1,824$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30018257.1%104 W · 78 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No73c1,600$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16818353%97 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No33c1,557$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.6984347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No73c1,200$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87612050%60 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes32c1,171$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.9416647.6%79 W · 87 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c1,036$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.792,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No70c1,011$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.2630049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Yes32c1,002$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.7616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-48.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No68c915.19$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.0239954.6%218 W · 181 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c902.23$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.951,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc056…e188backed Yes23c869.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.571330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No73c700$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51113154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0206…bf76backed Yes29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.66633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes43c658.75$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.445,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No79c632.91$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024654.1%133 W · 113 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b7d…d2dcbacked Yes76c587.37$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.211392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick73cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No67c504.21$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.821,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No54c466.71$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.431,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Yes77c429.87$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.873354.5%18 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No68c400$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27221152.1%110 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes24c395.69$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.722737%10 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No64c352$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.2816856%94 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70dc…1783backed No36c344.57$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.461747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No69c341.01$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.281,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Yes69c333.33$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.332544%11 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes25c313.71$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.7627148%130 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Yes33c304$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.682927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No73c300$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21915454.5%84 W · 70 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No73c300$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21916152.2%84 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes29c298$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.311,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes33c295.27$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.8393446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked No68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed No74c269.18$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.193246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No73c260$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.814452.1%75 W · 69 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No14c253.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8636142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No70c237.28$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.5140156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No9c220$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked No33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662030%6 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No40c161.47$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.255427.8%15 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No68c156$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0818256%102 W · 80 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No68c156$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0814953.7%80 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes30c150$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1053333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No66c148$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6853148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No69c140.87$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.979530.5%29 W · 66 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No68c140$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.216154.7%88 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No48c136.23$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1982053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No75c133.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No11c130.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.813349.6%66 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes30c108.72$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4615160.9%92 W · 59 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No71c106.24$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6173850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fca…819abacked Yes29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.453850%19 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No73c102.46$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.717953.6%96 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No68c101.23$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8414453.5%77 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No67c101$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1789955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes24c100.27$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.278214.6%12 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x414f…21afbacked No78c100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342560%15 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7316255.6%90 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No65c99.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9923755.3%131 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes33c99.08$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.51,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed No73c96.07$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.136259.7%37 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ed5…2aa3backed Yes33c94.83$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.832759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes35c85.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7119048.4%92 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Yes36c83.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.337045.7%32 W · 38 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+40.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Yes27c83.33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.831330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No72c80$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.610156.4%57 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes68c77.59$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.593966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes32c71$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.286955.1%38 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf1e…53b8backed Yes28c69.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.321952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+40.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No73c65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.458250%41 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No73c62.9$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9228253.5%151 W · 131 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes72c60.96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9630464.8%197 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.213655.9%76 W · 60 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No67c59.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7454354.9%298 W · 245 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.74141.5%17 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8499…950dbacked Yes36c58.33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.333100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+113.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf396…9d48backed Yes35c55.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.251020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No73c43.07$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4412951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5857…3fc0backed No74c42.27$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f78…b747backed No74c42.07$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes36c41.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6717630.1%53 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No73c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.212354.5%67 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed No77c38.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019268.2%131 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No65c37.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.622948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed No27c37.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.146943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb964…927fbacked Yes67c37.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.27580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No73c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.914349.7%71 W · 72 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed No72c27.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.846465.6%42 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09d2…26aebacked No73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked No70c26.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.676643.9%29 W · 37 L-7.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x731b…6124backed Yes67c22.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed No74c17.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.744085%34 W · 6 L+6.7wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+29.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.