NHL · resolved market
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Salavat Yulaev Ufa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62151f409b2646bb55d64dfa06825ce79ee1471aee6522d76daa57fa2f09a162
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlof Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, Salavat Yulaev Ufa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 76c | 2,100$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 75c | 1,610$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 24c | 787.93$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.97 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 24c | 781.43$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.28 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…69e5backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 25c | 760.18$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.05 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 24c | 520.83$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 76c | 275.49$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…bf76backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 75c | 262.67$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 24c | 245.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 24c | 209.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…daa5backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 25c | 191$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…d788backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 23c | 173.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 24c | 170.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 25c | 152.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 25c | 136.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 25c | 135.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f3…110abacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 23c | 132.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f65…a443backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 75c | 130.9$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 75c | 101.47$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d86…4132backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 25c | 95.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 71c | 87.62$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 25c | 81.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 75c | 80.68$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +10.8wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…48dfbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 24c | 79.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 24c | 67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…5853backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 23c | 66.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe86f…b8d9backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 76c | 63.55$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 27c | 48.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 24c | 42.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 29c | 35.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c56…78f9backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 72c | 27.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…c59fbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 75cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 72c | 23.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 75c | 20.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 74c | 19.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d39…1ca7backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 72c | 18.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 77c | 17.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 235 | 59.1%139 W · 96 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…0d61backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 75c | 17.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.