NHL · resolved market
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2957bae439e44a7fe243d1472a67edc04d7eb3bebeae9eb055be8b5c4a5c8122
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avangard Omskof Avangard Omsk, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 17c | 1,030$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.72 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 44c | 468.67$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.12 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…bf76backed Avangard Omsk | 56c | 350.43$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.43 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…80d1backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 46c | 325.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Avangard Omsk | 79c | 303.93$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 45c | 229.19$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.12 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac2f…21fabacked Avangard Omsk | 57c | 193.06$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 44c | 191.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.03 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Avangard Omsk | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 45c | 164.7$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.12 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Avangard Omsk | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 35c | 143.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Avangard Omsk | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Avangard Omsk | 54c | 130$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Avangard Omsk | 71c | 115.43$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 42c | 114.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…5e62backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Avangard Omsk | 57c | 101.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Avangard Omsk | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 181 | 49.7%90 W · 91 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f7…e966backed Avangard Omsk | 57c | 85.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 38c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Avangard Omsk | 56c | 71.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Avangard Omsk | 56c | 68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d39…1ca7backed Avangard Omsk | 70c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Avangard Omsk | 52c | 52.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Avangard Omsk | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 43c | 44.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…4ab0backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 44c | 28.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Avangard Omsk | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…97e6backed Avangard Omsk | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Avangard Omsk | 55c | 25.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Avangard Omsk | 58c | 22.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Avangard Omsk | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.