NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91bc664a2898ec4d2ece875d9653dea64ba9f2ada89c4952beadf4db2cb976a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Pelicans, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Pelicans | 69c | 17,251$11,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,902.72 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Trail Blazers | 38c | 16,079$6,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,041.53 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Trail Blazers | 69c | 5,970$4,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.32 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pelicans | 51c | 4,939$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.05 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 4,163$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.09 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,654$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.82 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…c635backed Pelicans | 69c | 1,531$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked Trail Blazers | 63c | 1,076$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.2 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Pelicans | 2c | 1,024$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pelicans | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Trail Blazers | 32c | 925.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.05 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8767…a37fbacked Pelicans | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans | 41c | 618.57$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.61 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3d…a219backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 581.77$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Pelicans | 24c | 498.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.71 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Pelicans | 22c | 488.89$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.17 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…6c29backed Pelicans | 32c | 436.64$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…5576backed Pelicans | 68c | 430.53$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.76 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +85%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa018…8689backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 424.23$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Trail Blazers | 32c | 399.94$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.96 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Trail Blazers | 4c | 258.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.85 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…3521backed Pelicans | 70c | 257.64$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Trail Blazers | 32c | 222$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2684…1525backed Pelicans | 70c | 187.87$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Pelicans | 46c | 163.26$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Trail Blazers | 69c | 156.74$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6807…391ebacked Pelicans | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Pelicans | 11c | 144$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Pelicans | 70c | 143$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…3374backed Trail Blazers | 69c | 119.29$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Pelicans | 66c | 117.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Pelicans | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 293 | 55.3%162 W · 131 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Pelicans | 70c | 99.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pelicans | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Trail Blazers | 30c | 98.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fa…43adbacked Pelicans | 30c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd821…5365backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…1fafbacked Pelicans | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Trail Blazers | 27c | 52.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Trail Blazers | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 138 | 47.8%66 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf3…c014backed Pelicans | 73c | 39.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Pelicans | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Trail Blazers | 32c | 31.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f96…7a8abacked Pelicans | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4998…a8d7backed Pelicans | 69c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0205…2555backed Trail Blazers | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +139.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6c…b425backed Pelicans | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a40…a764backed Trail Blazers | 66c | 22.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…e510backed Pelicans | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d40…855ebacked Pelicans | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed Pelicans | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 65cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…2688backed Pelicans | 69c | 14.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -9.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.