NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4551ab1b80e4cf60ae4284d889568ebc12f3a0935a355d61737f1c739591d52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Trail Blazers, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab15…dd2fbacked Trail Blazers | 2c | 10,500$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.29 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 6,494$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.42 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 5,248$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.7 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Trail Blazers | 2c | 2,915$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…e0febacked Trail Blazers | 17c | 2,719$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 2,567$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.54 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Trail Blazers | 6c | 2,100$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Trail Blazers | 1c | 2,054$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 1,725$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.35 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 1,462$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.57 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…1e3dbacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 1,194$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Trail Blazers | 5c | 1,193$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe51…3982backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 1,118$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb34…3ac5backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 1,061$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 947.63$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.67 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 884.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.43 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…461bbacked Trail Blazers | 16c | 630.44$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…be38backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 529.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…18cbbacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 461.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…1986backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 450$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 416.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…c212backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Trail Blazers | 10c | 374.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…5fbfbacked Trail Blazers | 16c | 318.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…a76dbacked Trail Blazers | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…5576backed Kings | 77c | 299.99$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +85%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a49…413fbacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 294.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Trail Blazers | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f52…0380backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 252.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3710…9ca7backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 228.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 222.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Trail Blazers | 17c | 207.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Trail Blazers | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224d…4a7cbacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 196.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4e95backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 180$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4998…a8d7backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 162.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…dfbfbacked Trail Blazers | 12c | 153.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692f…11eebacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…16bcbacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…f255backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd458…b4cdbacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 119.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5854…8d98backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 119.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 107.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…1c70backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 94.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…6ac2backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 62.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…dd8ebacked Trail Blazers | 16c | 62.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Trail Blazers | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 306 | 48.7%149 W · 157 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.