TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,080

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,106 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4a64…4430backed Jazz48c6,467$3,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,133.5761532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe721…82f5backed Spurs46c3,621$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d8…9574backed Spurs41c3,592$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.011241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Spurs58c3,320$1,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.8747656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Jazz59c2,343$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.1770147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeff…edeabacked Jazz54c1,906$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.24450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+52.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x738d…4df6backed Spurs43c1,700$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.734524.4%11 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53cb…710dbacked Jazz54c1,603$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Spurs55c1,414$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.39248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8af…f391backed Spurs45c1,405$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.721464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+33%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fdd…0b07backed Jazz53c1,333$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.1310334%35 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Jazz54c1,111$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.947549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Spurs46c1,111$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.948442.9%36 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Spurs55c1,049$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.6513857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8b4…e0febacked Spurs50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.14045%18 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab8a…681abacked Jazz60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004045%18 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jazz55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb20…a151backed Jazz52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5204257.1%24 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+70.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6e4f…446cbacked Jazz53c906.95$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.681533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd968…bd18backed Spurs44c900$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5088334.9%29 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x892a…89d8backed Jazz55c851.11$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4641540%6 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29f8…28e5backed Spurs47c851.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.06966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+64.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Spurs37c808.9$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.627939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Spurs44c679$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.3726547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Jazz48c599.96$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.9819642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz56c578.76$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.141,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Spurs40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30019137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d2d…569cbacked Spurs41c483.13$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.572268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa17…b1ecbacked Spurs47c479.99$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.41338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60b9…f457backed Spurs58c392$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.643540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Jazz53c384.83$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.9614129.1%41 W · 100 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4030…1f3ebacked Jazz55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Jazz43c360.47$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15553134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eb3…e20ebacked Jazz54c358.99$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.86580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfd6…9bb8backed Jazz55c301.18$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04d0…034abacked Spurs49c300.08$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.48633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa97b…388dbacked Jazz47c288.67$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.671844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc4…28b8backed Jazz55c234.55$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0870…e7bebacked Spurs47c234.04$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e71…a426backed Spurs47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.775100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d61…f6febacked Spurs45c209.97$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.981040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c57…9c22backed Jazz47c197$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.59742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked Jazz55c185$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.752152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb67…dbdebacked Jazz48c185$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80f0…5576backed Spurs43c185$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.451478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.27per pick52cpaid+85%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x793a…197abacked Spurs46c179.82$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2422…d02cbacked Spurs60c171.22$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.491764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6434…cdbebacked Spurs36c170$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.83732.4%12 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Jazz47c153.32$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8610441.3%43 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2489…b2d5backed Spurs47c151.06$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a8…6dfdbacked Jazz28c146.64$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7816325.2%41 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Jazz49c124.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2520233.7%68 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Spurs41c121.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8627631.2%86 W · 190 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5be…8728backed Jazz45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b12…79cbbacked Spurs46c107.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Spurs52c105$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1637627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9170…7c2cbacked Spurs53c100.94$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Spurs45c100.06$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7872341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd28e…d68fbacked Spurs50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506547.7%31 W · 34 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Jazz47c99.97$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9929355.3%162 W · 131 L+1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Jazz53c99.91$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.951,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc559…f430backed Spurs46c92.11$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98f3…bf14backed Spurs56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c4b…f1e6backed Spurs42c88.1$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.15856.9%33 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc3…3bf0backed Spurs51c81.95$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc87b…4d55backed Jazz54c81.27$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ac…2790backed Spurs48c81.25$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.251353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcac0…78debacked Spurs47c80.85$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.851457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+47.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda67…b950backed Jazz65c80$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524944.9%22 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Spurs41c73.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.176434.4%22 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8546…2ad4backed Jazz51c66.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4f3…a05ebacked Jazz46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf844…1747backed Spurs50c64.6$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c47…970ebacked Spurs64c62.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.951361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6097…c40dbacked Spurs48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33dc…9661backed Jazz51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.68658.1%50 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Jazz34c59.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3924147.3%114 W · 127 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b9c…5f3bbacked Jazz52c58.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f46…b84bbacked Spurs48c56.42$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.443246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7702…7572backed Spurs52c56.19$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fbd…5d02backed Jazz61c54.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.161361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf322…a2c1backed Jazz53c51.13$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea48…3216backed Spurs52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…a563backed Spurs36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4442…d5c1backed Spurs50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+44.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Spurs48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2636449.7%181 W · 183 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x256a…1c70backed Spurs35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.55939%23 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4308…83c4backed Spurs50c49.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aad…433abacked Spurs53c49.06$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.06875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x791a…4fcfbacked Jazz51c48.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e46…88d6backed Jazz52c47.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9c0…7e50backed Spurs57c46.47$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.981435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+703.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4331…9069backed Spurs52c46.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3407…da0bbacked Jazz52c45.39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51f2…8d23backed Jazz41c44.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.36139.3%24 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x793b…7526backed Spurs52c44.68$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x610d…188bbacked Spurs47c42.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7718628%52 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb7e…21c9backed Jazz52c42.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50d2…0d35backed Spurs47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.556043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c81…1a5cbacked Spurs47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.552466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.