TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Magic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Magicof Pacers, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,289
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,738

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,289 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6761…a94fbacked Magic66c19,885$13,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,760.759248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pacers34c14,206$4,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8301,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Magic69c13,554$9,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,191.9847656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Magic69c9,368$6,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,907.278046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Pacers36c6,518$2,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,372.461532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Pacers27c4,593$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.0822832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers32c2,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.91,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe51…3982backed Pacers31c2,288$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004517.8%8 W · 37 L-8.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-51.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Magic70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6008436.9%31 W · 53 L-10.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x10b1…ff78backed Pacers34c1,950$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.83633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers15c1,779$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.571,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Pacers30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9616242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfd1…cfe4backed Magic65c1,443$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Magic52c1,343$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.7853134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed40…4df6backed Pacers31c1,100$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x225e…385fbacked Magic72c1,100$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8a…681abacked Magic70c999.99$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004045%18 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb20…a151backed Pacers29c999.85$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.964257.1%24 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+70.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x8767…a37fbacked Magic65c889$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3111618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-56.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xcfcc…632fbacked Magic68c784.31$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.98475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+44.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x700d…fa25backed Pacers34c784.29$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.66520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-73.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70a8…6dfdbacked Pacers3c764$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4116325.2%41 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x738d…4df6backed Pacers34c755.82$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.984524.4%11 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Magic71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2316553.9%89 W · 76 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc12…1e02backed Pacers29c686.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fdd…0b07backed Pacers28c659.93$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9810334%35 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c8…e7acbacked Pacers35c641.67$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2263652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Pacers18c622.67$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3519137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Magic66c599.92$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.9712247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79ee…ae97backed Magic69c580.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.934837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Magic65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17514852.7%78 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5726…9c06backed Pacers32c468.75$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-67.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e71…a426backed Magic70c468.67$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.675100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x205f…0189backed Pacers26c462.25$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.75747.4%27 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ba2…18a5backed Pacers35c451.52$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.779130.8%28 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Magic46c366.19$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.1927041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x892a…89d8backed Magic75c332.91$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.911540%6 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e29…4e95backed Pacers32c317.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003751.4%19 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf534…b055backed Pacers32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+49.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3b5…4de3backed Pacers25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb228…2734backed Pacers35c299.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052520%5 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-48.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80f0…5576backed Magic67c299.92$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.971478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.27per pick52cpaid+85%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Magic48c299.32$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.3926547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b9…f457backed Pacers32c280.96$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.913540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed Pacers27c265.97$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.974729.8%14 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2422…d02cbacked Pacers36c249.33$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27ca…c635backed Magic65c232$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.21241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceab…bbfabacked Pacers28c231.67$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.871861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa397…a9e4backed Pacers31c228.41$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fdd…03fcbacked Magic73c228.09$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.09666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Magic53c226$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.134644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb2…6dbebacked Magic65c168.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.151376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9857…be38backed Magic30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.673844.7%17 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+40.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcbc2…c8e7backed Magic69c165$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.15450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa64a…627bbacked Pacers32c146.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc1b…753cbacked Magic71c146.4$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47dc…eec9backed Magic70c142.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.455166.7%34 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cfa…12a3backed Pacers30c120$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367337%27 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74c3…c1a8backed Pacers28c120$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.61250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked Magic58c113.74$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.119149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2026…bd92backed Magic67c113.54$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+61.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d2…7531backed Magic70c110$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f18…9536backed Pacers29c109.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.89922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-67.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa34d…1de4backed Pacers10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105721.1%12 W · 45 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Magic72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2815149%74 W · 77 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed Pacers62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Pacers31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3177437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Pacers31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3129355.3%162 W · 131 L+1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Magic50c99.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.991,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Magic68c99.32$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.781,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08e2…e186backed Pacers31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick35cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Magic27c93.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3318316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Magic66c91.06$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0636449.7%181 W · 183 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb441…e37abacked Pacers31c90.48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.69616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-69.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb498…335bbacked Magic72c90.28$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5466…9e76backed Pacers31c90$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-76.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0150…a67abacked Magic71c84.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.512458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x449d…d646backed Pacers31c75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Pacers49c69.31$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9627631.2%86 W · 190 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe091…7178backed Pacers29c68.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Magic67c67.73$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2465642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2450…947ebacked Magic71c66.08$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-52.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Pacers35c65.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.11776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6cd…acebbacked Pacers67c65.45$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.851957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Pacers79c63.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x206b…d396backed Magic71c63.21$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.33366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Magic51c59.28$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0511719.7%23 W · 94 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xacc3…0915backed Pacers29c55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.95616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d49…5ec5backed Magic71c55$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaac…cef8backed Magic69c55$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf957…4d42backed Magic71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Magic66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1727548.7%134 W · 141 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0615…5c47backed Magic24c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3813823.2%32 W · 106 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce7…fd4abacked Pacers55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.514057.9%81 W · 59 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4004…fa48backed Pacers29c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5685…1233backed Magic70c49.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda6e…81acbacked Pacers31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x618a…3efdbacked Pacers31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2778…e46ebacked Pacers31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f2…382bbacked Magic70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.86666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.