NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90eb59e5c5dc71a6c15a0c305ffc8328b87af85a67293138d551f2426fe65ad5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Flyers, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Flyers | 40c | 5,002$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.68 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11c0…a326backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 4,255$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 3,228$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.82 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca9…508ebacked Flyers | 42c | 2,898$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21fc…f3d2backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 2,553$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers | 39c | 2,294$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.64 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6c…bf6ebacked Flyers | 42c | 1,355$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Flyers | 39c | 1,261$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.01 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 743.92$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.25 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 580$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 499.99$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Flyers | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Flyers | 36c | 495.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.17 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Flyers | 37c | 470.79$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.82 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Flyers | 38c | 461.04$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.37 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 417.63$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.63 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 382.93$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.93 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Flyers | 38c | 359.86$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.75 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd7…5516backed Flyers | 41c | 350$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4a…ad65backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 338$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Flyers | 36c | 328.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 39c | 242.06$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.25 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 218.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.83 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Flyers | 41c | 213.31$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.57 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flyers | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 162.33$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.48 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Flyers | 46c | 147.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e96…df8abacked Flyers | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…e43bbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 117.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…595cbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 116.95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1094…d30cbacked Flyers | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…2c0fbacked Flyers | 42c | 110.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 108.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…82f1backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 108.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Flyers | 38c | 104.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…61aabacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Flyers | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 99.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Maple Leafs | 76c | 98.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe89d…b80ebacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 93.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6899…6853backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 89.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509b…429dbacked Flyers | 42c | 82.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…2f6cbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 79.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…4007backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 79.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Flyers | 40c | 77.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…8599backed Flyers | 46c | 74.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Flyers | 37c | 73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc069…46bfbacked Flyers | 42c | 71.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c4…6e97backed Flyers | 42c | 66.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b3…d407backed Flyers | 42c | 64.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde68…a68dbacked Flyers | 40c | 60.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611b…f45fbacked Flyers | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f4…0eb4backed Flyers | 38c | 57.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…db55backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Flyers | 42c | 56.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 55.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8c…9260backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 55.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…74d8backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 54.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa2…3ff7backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 52.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +95%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…0c8abacked Flyers | 37c | 51.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4579…112ebacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 50.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2a…9146backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1f…cb18backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x760d…aca1backed Flyers | 41c | 48.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…1486backed Flyers | 36c | 48.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cd…efa4backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 48.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515e…60aebacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 48.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49b0…2d65backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 47.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…2292backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 45.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17d…aa9dbacked Flyers | 45c | 44.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…c779backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 44.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7570…bd2cbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 43.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…cd3cbacked Flyers | 40c | 43.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec4…4955backed Flyers | 37c | 42.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cd…e530backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 42.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…5a14backed Flyers | 44c | 42.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…eabcbacked Flyers | 41c | 41.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…2606backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 41.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e9…b3eebacked Flyers | 44c | 40.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be3…408fbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 40.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da9…5257backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 40.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 40.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…e04fbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 40.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…b038backed Flyers | 43c | 39.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…5014backed Flyers | 42c | 39.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…f8f1backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 39.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e28…f18fbacked Flyers | 40c | 39.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1b…d138backed Flyers | 42c | 39.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1314…1edbbacked Flyers | 38c | 39.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.