Boxing · resolved market
Ryan Garcia vs. Rolly Romero
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc25874cffccd61c058925de058f4edc1eb7bfa03ff41fb4a76dd926a307f8fd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Romeroof Garcia, Romero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01fb…ae3ebacked Romero | 14c | 1,480$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…94d9backed Garcia | 1c | 1,350$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Romero | 16c | 861.26$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +160.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Romero | 11c | 520.36$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…0d6abacked Romero | 13c | 477$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Romero | 12c | 366.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Romero | 13c | 187.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Romero | 9c | 133.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…0e38backed Romero | 52c | 126.36$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Garcia | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Garcia | 74c | 116.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Romero | 14c | 112.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2e90backed Romero | 18c | 110$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Romero | 12c | 107.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Garcia | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca25…aecebacked Romero | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Romero | 11c | 99.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…b979backed Romero | 13c | 87.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +201.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6487…c678backed Garcia | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46e…83ebbacked Romero | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a11…3957backed Garcia | 54c | 60.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed Romero | 46c | 60.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…0249backed Romero | 75c | 53.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Garcia | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ryan Garcia vs. Rolly Romerothis page
- Devin Haney vs. Jose RamirezHaney won
- Teofimo Lopez vs. Arnold Barboza JrLopez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.