Boxing · resolved market
Teofimo Lopez vs. Arnold Barboza Jr
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c8dd9a2b87d96daf9506aee5710a1bc085cff1207f9d77ce3cc486029929a99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lopezof Lopez, Barboza Jr
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $193,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8869…6f1ebacked Barboza Jr | 35c | 60,321$21,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,112.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…fb6fbacked Lopez | 65c | 60,321$39,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,112.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66b…2eeebacked Barboza Jr | 32c | 32,876$10,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,520.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de0…9869backed Lopez | 68c | 32,876$22,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,520.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lopez | 67c | 2,185$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Barboza Jr | 32c | 1,153$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.09 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e5…ba7dbacked Barboza Jr | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Barboza Jr | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…485cbacked Barboza Jr | 32c | 975$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…1bafbacked Lopez | 68c | 890$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…e87abacked Lopez | 68c | 700$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…d03ebacked Barboza Jr | 32c | 630$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…0ae4backed Lopez | 68c | 355$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…b88ebacked Barboza Jr | 32c | 350$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Barboza Jr | 33c | 333$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Barboza Jr | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Lopez | 68c | 288.55$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…f34fbacked Lopez | 68c | 260$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1177…3fe3backed Lopez | 68c | 260$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…44a9backed Lopez | 68c | 210$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…e3f2backed Lopez | 67c | 210$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Lopez | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Lopez | 69c | 124$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Lopez | 71c | 112.52$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Lopez | 70c | 110.19$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Lopez | 67c | 105.88$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Barboza Jr | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…fc9dbacked Lopez | 68c | 95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…5bfabacked Lopez | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…52ddbacked Lopez | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Barboza Jr | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…dc1abacked Barboza Jr | 32c | 59.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…0d0fbacked Lopez | 67c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa62…dc58backed Lopez | 68c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c00…b206backed Lopez | 68c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e23…99d7backed Lopez | 67c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Barboza Jr | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…b291backed Lopez | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b8…4cdbbacked Barboza Jr | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Teofimo Lopez vs. Arnold Barboza Jrthis page
- Devin Haney vs. Jose RamirezHaney won
- Ryan Garcia vs. Rolly RomeroRomero won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.