Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will Kentucky win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3719dc9b260a39dc1a79314ed149f3a8f9a39b2830c273575a3e68481538412
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 8c | 3,686$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.78 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…a6afbacked Yes | 12c | 2,002$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.18 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 11c | 1,415$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.63 | 136 | 9.6%13 W · 123 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 8c | 745.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…f1a6backed Yes | 9c | 667.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Yes | 12c | 400$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…f347backed Yes | 8c | 350$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0414…3c9bbacked Yes | 12c | 169.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x065f…a838backed Yes | 12c | 168$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…dc2cbacked Yes | 12c | 162$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ba…f170backed Yes | 12c | 142$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9100…d954backed Yes | 12c | 133$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…9f64backed Yes | 12c | 131$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47b3…3345backed Yes | 12c | 126$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…41d7backed Yes | 12c | 126$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf64…07b6backed Yes | 12c | 119$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54cb…5ed4backed Yes | 12c | 116$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…ba59backed Yes | 12c | 115$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcd…df9fbacked Yes | 12c | 114$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c08…bd0ebacked Yes | 12c | 111$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb11c…28d4backed Yes | 12c | 110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…ea6ebacked Yes | 12c | 103$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed Yes | 11c | 99.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ea…8c8fbacked Yes | 12c | 99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef79…d995backed Yes | 12c | 96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…7825backed Yes | 12c | 94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x650f…f15dbacked Yes | 12c | 94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…76acbacked Yes | 12c | 92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x618f…abf1backed Yes | 12c | 90$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kentucky win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?this page
- Will Clemson win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Gonzaga win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Houston win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?Yes won
- Will Illinois win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will McNeese win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Purdue win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will SIU Edwardsville win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Tennessee win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Troy win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will UCLA win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Wofford win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Xavier win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.