TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Will Houston win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,520
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,351

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,520 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1615…a6afbacked No48c2,002$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.972751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed No62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.977021.4%15 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed No40c1,400$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.48644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes46c989.69$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.641369.6%13 W · 123 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-78.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bed…f347backed Yes38c978.04$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.181643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick35cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No48c734$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.221,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes52c663.99$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.48232.9%27 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No49c660.18$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.757936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked No15c559.26$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.953993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes42c525.47$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.774522.2%10 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-56.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8583…a5dbbacked No15c511.94$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.14468.7%4 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c54…cc1ebacked Yes54c454$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.84887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick65cpaid+39.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes52c360$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.413936.7%51 W · 88 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No60c349.68$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.816440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cde…5b98backed No14c266.67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.33825%2 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+98.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdef7…4fd2backed Yes56c266.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.621376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+59.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4698…6c24backed Yes69c216.85$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.633669.4%25 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3077…00b9backed Yes38c201$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes59c190.29$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.026934.8%24 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8bb…fb35backed Yes42c166.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.67683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick40cpaid+115.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No55c160$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.476923.2%16 W · 53 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa14b…b944backed Yes60c132.06$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.823943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes38c130.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.823122.6%7 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e48…a557backed No63c118$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Yes37c116.33$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.29966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+53.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes51c105$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.453748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1560551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac61…f5f7backed No58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9712…e156backed Yes38c91$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26cf…220ebacked No47c90$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x605b…35f3backed Yes53c90$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes38c88.43$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.831926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-52.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x90c0…14a1backed Yes38c86.32$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e01…e0abbacked No63c84$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b79…0694backed Yes41c82.89$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+142.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bd5…92dbbacked No60c81.73$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd090…bb53backed Yes42c80.45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa66d…745fbacked No63c80.4$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc0…1d86backed Yes38c80$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a8b…9486backed Yes53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6104…6e56backed No47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37b…cea1backed Yes38c79.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd12…5389backed Yes38c79$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…5f89backed No60c78.8$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c47…cd52backed Yes38c77.37$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8db0…3583backed No63c75.76$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dfa…f9b2backed No63c71.79$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed No61c68.03$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.54829.2%14 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd80c…98febacked No47c68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x093f…4cb7backed Yes53c68$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x542c…f12bbacked Yes39c64.95$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.621154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick30cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a04…be9cbacked No63c53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bac…f8eebacked No47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x816b…b675backed Yes53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8daa…c7fdbacked No47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0680…041cbacked Yes53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb8e…860fbacked No63c46$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee46…b5c2backed No63c43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a48…22e8backed No41c42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.222470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c6d…2287backed Yes53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0005…31cabacked No47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e4…6dfbbacked Yes53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a32…a74abacked No47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef27…e42bbacked No63c39.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4655…f343backed No63c38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cce…7fd8backed No63c37$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x844b…0a51backed Yes38c36.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+131.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd229…8917backed Yes41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72cf…01b4backed No63c34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b14…f7c9backed No48c30.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e4…bd8ebacked No47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a32…47b6backed Yes53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41d7…6ed4backed No47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7929…3ca5backed Yes53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e62…434fbacked No48c27.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58d6…b848backed Yes53c27.13$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04d7…db55backed No48c26.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcad2…18c2backed Yes54c24.74$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No58c22.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1930649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf1c…de52backed Yes53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf05…c401backed No63c18.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01ff…8aa6backed No61c16.87$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.