TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Angels vs. Padres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Padresof Angels, Padres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,825
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,825 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc84…3e67backed Angels34c5,923$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006645.5%30 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Padres66c5,306$3,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,817.472,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07cb…743cbacked Angels47c4,786$2,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,232.7611357.5%65 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Angels35c3,467$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…8687backed Padres66c3,035$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.748457.1%48 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb37c…164ebacked Padres65c1,800$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.992955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Angels34c1,750$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.791,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e85…4d99backed Angels35c1,634$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.92958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae8b…5f7cbacked Angels35c1,583$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4eb…161fbacked Padres65c1,580$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Angels34c1,271$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.161,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Padres54c1,112$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.449,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Angels64c1,061$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.2886751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Padres29c1,000$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.3415745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Padres24c1,000$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76010746.7%50 W · 57 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9938…c7e8backed Padres68c726.09$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.3510858.3%63 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6418…f8a6backed Padres60c694.55$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.033056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Angels34c678.74$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.183234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58db…ea03backed Angels31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012347.2%58 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Angels42c599.64$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.8163942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Angels33c446$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.1843654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Padres76c440.13$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.352,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Padres67c382.09$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.0914966.4%99 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Angels34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10214539.3%57 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Angels32c297.18$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9425835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Angels35c258$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.361,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Padres70c256.86$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8623852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Angels33c215.98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.279245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Angels21c209.46$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Angels33c199.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9993240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Padres53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6828453.9%153 W · 131 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Angels19c174.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4197950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Padres60c165.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5731145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.252,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.252,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58a8…52febacked Angels72c139.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.351172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4770…13debacked Angels35c105$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa78d…e8cbbacked Padres23c101.1$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.463525.7%9 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick15cpaid-3.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Padres50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5051151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Padres68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0761346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Padres22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787544%33 W · 42 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a5…4356backed Angels34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+53.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xceca…fcdfbacked Angels34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-70.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5547…ca51backed Padres67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Padres64c99.76$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6446753.7%251 W · 216 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Padres69c85.5$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5192754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Angels25c82.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.892488.9%22 W · 226 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8628…f894backed Angels36c80.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Angels13c80$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.554754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1b8…2d83backed Padres74c80$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Padres58c76.47$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1234264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ef5…6014backed Padres69c70.78$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.972030%6 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Padres70c68.75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3580680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Padres64c65$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2343250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c90…0facbacked Padres66c58$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4887…179dbacked Padres67c55.82$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.425352.8%28 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4bd…8e10backed Angels40c55.03$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2270%0 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Angels33c53.14$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.451,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Padres66c51.52$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5274356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e4…e7efbacked Angels45c49.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.22944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf5…9896backed Padres66c47$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Padres67c46.57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.372,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5e9…9f82backed Padres67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.78771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8a…981dbacked Angels35c44.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.531747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38eb…9cdcbacked Angels34c42.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfb4…da3cbacked Padres73c41.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.269148.4%44 W · 47 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Padres67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3169547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Padres67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3194455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dd2…7f1dbacked Padres67c37.09$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0916948.5%82 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b07…a0c7backed Angels35c36.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.851353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Padres71c35.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0717744.1%78 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angels34c32.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.942,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3539…b17bbacked Angels47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Padres46c26.63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.291,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd982…214cbacked Padres78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.644100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06ea…a4b6backed Padres52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129148.4%44 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Padres67c24.87$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2155152.5%289 W · 262 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe1…4e47backed Padres68c23.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.452556%14 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a40…a3eebacked Angels69c22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e8…45c4backed Padres67c21.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.251250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93a5…8855backed Padres67c21.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.21553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4dd1backed Padres66c21.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.411450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d5…e0e0backed Padres67c21.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.18666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19e0…c910backed Padres66c21.74$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.391827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-48.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb473…bb09backed Padres66c19.7$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd49…abb7backed Padres67c19.04$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.28955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x770b…0240backed Padres66c19.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.471457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29da…8ba5backed Padres66c18.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd39…c5b8backed Padres67c16.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.