MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41ef5362c3a2c23f2c65e5ba8ff662742c6d47a1ead1c01f1c84aafeb6489563
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Tigers, Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1957…66a2backed Angels | 54c | 52,736$28,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,524.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Tigers | 52c | 24,322$12,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,763.15 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Tigers | 65c | 20,026$12,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,037.14 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers | 43c | 9,250$4,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,236 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Angels | 35c | 7,519$2,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,631.65 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Angels | 36c | 4,985$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.61 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tigers | 64c | 4,602$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.61 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Angels | 36c | 2,740$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.3 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Angels | 46c | 2,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Angels | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.15 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Tigers | 43c | 1,400$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.79 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Angels | 43c | 1,189$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.13 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Tigers | 43c | 1,167$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.84 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Angels | 35c | 1,045$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.78 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tigers | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Angels | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers | 61c | 860.06$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.02 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Tigers | 63c | 750$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Tigers | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Tigers | 78c | 538$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.89 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Tigers | 65c | 477.16$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.16 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Angels | 35c | 456$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Tigers | 64c | 419$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.84 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Tigers | 64c | 408.75$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.15 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Angels | 36c | 368.26$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.28 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Angels | 36c | 350$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tigers | 45c | 334$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.52 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Angels | 43c | 328.71$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.14 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc8…8f5dbacked Angels | 32c | 305$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tigers | 43c | 290.83$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.72 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…15ddbacked Angels | 35c | 274.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.18 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Angels | 65c | 236.83$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.94 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Angels | 23c | 182$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed Angels | 47c | 181.56$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Angels | 50c | 167.15$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.93 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…d9a9backed Tigers | 64c | 157.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Tigers | 34c | 147.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Angels | 39c | 132.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2a…1e46backed Tigers | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1af…d23bbacked Tigers | 62c | 127$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Angels | 35c | 114$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Angels | 37c | 111$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd656…d127backed Tigers | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Angels | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Angels | 35c | 95.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…7602backed Tigers | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Angels | 54c | 77.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Angels | 36c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Tigers | 63c | 69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Angels | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 62c | 65.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Angels | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Tigers | 66c | 41.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Tigers | 52c | 34.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Angels | 35c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Tigers | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Tigers | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Angels | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Angels | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x233a…bb6bbacked Tigers | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Tigers | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.