Champions League · resolved market
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-04-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad2af583ca6eebe719cfa17ef8cd96d8fc2af2f803497cdae85435a3e6fc70da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $218,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 0c | 119,931$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.43 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x658a…b117backed Yes | 11c | 27,893$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 10c | 6,221$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.81 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 6c | 5,279$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa45e…64febacked Yes | 10c | 3,710$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…be2ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,167$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 4cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…0acebacked Yes | 16c | 2,447$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 10c | 1,880$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Yes | 4c | 1,160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…ea97backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…4256backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…f59bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb65…df33backed Yes | 10c | 985$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…71f2backed Yes | 11c | 845.45$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9d…0791backed Yes | 10c | 840$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610a…1395backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 11c | 818.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Yes | 2c | 815.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 11c | 499.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Yes | 11c | 430$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b9…c2b6backed Yes | 10c | 427.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…7dccbacked Yes | 10c | 366.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc797…49cdbacked Yes | 8c | 300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 11c | 291.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…3917backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Yes | 11c | 254.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4a…dbb0backed Yes | 10c | 243.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x809e…0963backed Yes | 11c | 231.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 33cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b51…9c96backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…6988backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…1228backed Yes | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 12c | 177.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…2e1ebacked Yes | 11c | 154.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…5c37backed Yes | 11c | 154.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x593f…6e25backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 9c | 146.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…ec66backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -52%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeac6…d0b8backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 34cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…f11dbacked Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe30…0e3bbacked Yes | 10c | 115$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…19ddbacked Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…54e6backed Yes | 10c | 105.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd8…2cf0backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…758dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…8707backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…a654backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb45…66d6backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-04-09?this page
- Will Barcelona vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?No won
- Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.