MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x028b5f6f37a3831a11ddda4ab083343cc6ce336937193f29e0a2b95ca54e2254
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Mariners, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $278,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $409,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Rangers | 64c | 129,981$83,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,771.42 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 36c | 25,546$9,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,290.52 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mariners | 36c | 22,000$7,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,939.99 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Mariners | 36c | 21,679$7,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,783.55 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 32c | 16,712$5,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,393.99 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mariners | 37c | 8,818$3,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,262.82 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 37c | 7,950$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.59 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mariners | 37c | 6,448$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.96 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mariners | 36c | 5,137$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.95 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Mariners | 42c | 3,963$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.87 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Mariners | 37c | 3,420$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.76 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 36c | 3,408$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.82 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Mariners | 38c | 2,974$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.04 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c4…ab5fbacked Rangers | 63c | 2,466$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Mariners | 36c | 2,400$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Mariners | 40c | 2,280$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.82 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b229backed Rangers | 65c | 1,924$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Mariners | 39c | 1,001$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Mariners | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Mariners | 55c | 954.09$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.75 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Mariners | 37c | 761$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.66 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Mariners | 38c | 704$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.72 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mariners | 32c | 693.17$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.09 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Mariners | 39c | 641.09$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Mariners | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Mariners | 36c | 538.09$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.71 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…15ddbacked Mariners | 40c | 528.35$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.78 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mariners | 25c | 521.45$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.36 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mariners | 37c | 513$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.09 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 35c | 280$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Mariners | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Mariners | 37c | 256$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.42 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mariners | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.74 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Mariners | 40c | 245.32$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.97 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rangers | 60c | 231.9$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Mariners | 37c | 191$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 63c | 159.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c88…5685backed Mariners | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Mariners | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Rangers | 61c | 88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8181…92b8backed Rangers | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mariners | 39c | 53.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Mariners | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Rangers | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Mariners | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Rangers | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da2…bf18backed Rangers | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +223.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Mariners | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Rangers | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.