MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x351971e2f00b0f4352b83c98ec35c5d63d8e9cd7de9e8cc05de7092427932d9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Tigers, Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf329…d77cbacked Angels | 38c | 32,082$12,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,191.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0b…b3dabacked Tigers | 62c | 30,977$19,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,771.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Tigers | 61c | 20,494$12,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,992.6 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Angels | 39c | 9,920$3,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,868.9 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Angels | 39c | 6,250$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Angels | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Angels | 38c | 2,166$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.08 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ba…d879backed Angels | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Angels | 38c | 1,639$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.32 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc1…4485backed Tigers | 62c | 1,105$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Tigers | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Angels | 31c | 901.43$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.43 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Angels | 39c | 712$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.68 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Angels | 11c | 658.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Angels | 37c | 607.51$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.78 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 62c | 573.59$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.96 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Angels | 39c | 441.14$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.04 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Tigers | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Angels | 39c | 243.17$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Angels | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Angels | 39c | 178$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1af…d23bbacked Tigers | 63c | 165$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Tigers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Angels | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Tigers | 63c | 57.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Tigers | 63c | 54.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Tigers | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Angels | 42c | 51.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Tigers | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Angels | 39c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Tigers | 63c | 38.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Angels | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Tigers | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Tigers | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.