MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fa8d1ffea3228da3302b48c120a4e4f740e4ce54dd50cf6aba65d9d131eb8e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Angelsof Tigers, Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Angels | 45c | 109,623$49,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,882.99 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers | 58c | 38,985$22,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,435.44 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers | 42c | 33,087$13,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,988.06 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Tigers | 63c | 14,997$9,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,385.39 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Tigers | 63c | 8,978$5,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,690.07 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Tigers | 15c | 8,081$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.05 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Angels | 64c | 7,459$4,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.02 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tigers | 44c | 2,622$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.61 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Tigers | 62c | 2,419$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.32 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Tigers | 47c | 2,022$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.15 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tigers | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Angels | 55c | 1,990$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.5 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Tigers | 50c | 1,623$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.74 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tigers | 51c | 1,600$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.67 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Tigers | 50c | 1,580$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.05 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c4…ab5fbacked Angels | 37c | 1,562$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Tigers | 6c | 1,514$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Tigers | 65c | 1,383$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.87 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b229backed Angels | 36c | 1,249$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Tigers | 49c | 1,208$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.99 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Tigers | 61c | 1,108$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.46 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Tigers | 45c | 1,103$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.15 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Tigers | 64c | 1,101$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +206.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers | 62c | 1,100$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Tigers | 6c | 856.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Tigers | 63c | 660$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.8 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Angels | 39c | 657.31$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.31 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Tigers | 37c | 657.1$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.79 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…15ddbacked Tigers | 62c | 605.29$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.4 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Tigers | 63c | 570.38$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.34 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Angels | 51c | 563.46$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.22 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Tigers | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Tigers | 60c | 370.04$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.63 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Tigers | 61c | 344.59$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.2 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Tigers | 62c | 296.91$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.07 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…67b1backed Tigers | 5c | 258.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Tigers | 53c | 234.26$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Tigers | 46c | 219.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Tigers | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Tigers | 6c | 181.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69a8…fb9dbacked Tigers | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Tigers | 63c | 121.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…d9a9backed Tigers | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2a…1e46backed Tigers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Tigers | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Tigers | 63c | 80.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Tigers | 62c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tigers | 61c | 67.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Tigers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Tigers | 47c | 53.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Tigers | 63c | 53.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…4f5abacked Angels | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Tigers | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Tigers | 64c | 39.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Tigers | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Tigers | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Tigers | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Tigers | 65c | 16.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.