Champions League · resolved market
Will Inter Milan beat RB Leipzig?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdd54282370b0fff00967f270d87b1d5830d2d754fe1a7d3f48bbce823064525
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8a6…61ffbacked No | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 31c | 2,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 10c | 2,385$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.25 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes | 67c | 2,162$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.3 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 68c | 2,136$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 67c | 1,974$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.26 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Yes | 69c | 1,834$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.45 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…ad08backed No | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 32c | 999.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed No | 31c | 999.97$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Yes | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Yes | 69c | 440.9$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.68 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 68c | 292.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked No | 31c | 258.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Yes | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 7c | 200.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 66c | 149.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed No | 31c | 106.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…bf43backed Yes | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 34c | 100.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe168…cb72backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9d…7398backed Yes | 69c | 99.19$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 29c | 91.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…8c6abacked Yes | 71c | 80.68$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…3462backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes | 70c | 60.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Yes | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 30c | 47.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x321b…f57abacked Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Yes | 70c | 43.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 30c | 43.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b29…d0a8backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda9a…348dbacked No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…a5e4backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4211…8a79backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…bcc0backed Yes | 69c | 28.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b0…19dbbacked Yes | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72d…f3cdbacked Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe90…4774backed Yes | 69c | 19.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter Milan beat RB Leipzig?this page
- Will RB Leipzig beat Inter Milan?No won
- Will the match between Inter Milan and RB Leipzig end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.