MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf773af32a20752a4f5963d6381928aec44eb51a8b60946107c9006e10af2623
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof San Francisco Giants, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb400…1ed9backed New York Yankees | 60c | 35,567$21,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,067.17 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked San Francisco Giants | 35c | 18,737$6,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,544.31 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 12,410$5,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,144.7 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed New York Yankees | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed San Francisco Giants | 6c | 5,212$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.64 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed San Francisco Giants | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed San Francisco Giants | 2c | 3,094$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 2,534$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.31 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 2,490$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.47 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 1,556$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.2 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed San Francisco Giants | 28c | 1,251$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.77 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked New York Yankees | 55c | 1,155$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.74 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 1,000$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 877.55$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.34 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 865.94$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed New York Yankees | 64c | 727.66$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.96 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 714$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 595$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.75 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 568.16$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.95 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked San Francisco Giants | 32c | 521.88$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 334.43$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.8 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…b560backed San Francisco Giants | 21c | 321.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 317$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.48 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked San Francisco Giants | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed San Francisco Giants | 10c | 194.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed New York Yankees | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…e9cdbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 90.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 70.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…eee9backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 57.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…25b2backed New York Yankees | 60c | 32.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed New York Yankees | 56c | 31.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.