Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win on 2024-10-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1304b4ff5d15867196b4a297042e8c055d0eb227de03221c4c1d4138a74e4284
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc43c…e9e8backed Yes | 21c | 5,425$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…2734backed Yes | 22c | 2,222$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.73 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 78c | 1,432$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.08 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 7c | 786.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 21c | 712.17$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.43 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x847f…08a5backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 22c | 321.18$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 318.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…6677backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 80c | 243.64$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…8fb7backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f1…3370backed No | 80c | 212.17$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x858a…b00dbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff0…40b9backed No | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 80c | 168.75$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc025…694fbacked Yes | 21c | 154.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed No | 80c | 144.5$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45ab…2c73backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd81…c91abacked Yes | 19c | 135$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…2be5backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3362…8cb4backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 80c | 112.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfc…cd91backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6817…7378backed Yes | 20c | 101.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b48…51d0backed No | 79c | 101$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3770backed Yes | 26c | 100.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c3…5227backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 78c | 99.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…bb64backed No | 74c | 99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae73…5cd4backed Yes | 21c | 84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 71c | 83.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…b9cfbacked Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Yes | 17c | 71.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…3431backed Yes | 19c | 65.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a49…6681backed Yes | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked No | 78c | 61.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7b…3c9ebacked Yes | 22c | 57.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bc…5409backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb4…efd5backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646d…d31fbacked No | 79c | 29.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee2…07c3backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595e…6c34backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win on 2024-10-20?this page
- Will Liverpool vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won
- Will Liverpool win on 2024-10-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.