TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2024-10-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,427
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,084

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,427 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6761…a94fbacked Yes59c46,629$27,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,302.1210650%53 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No41c28,370$11,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,629.818950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff48…b0ecbacked No42c17,225$7,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,177.953237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed No39c9,104$3,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,544.49037.8%34 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes58c6,899$4,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,891.359361.3%57 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes62c4,088$2,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.1719652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No36c3,193$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.4615337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked No51c2,871$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.552433.3%8 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1a68…003abacked Yes62c2,572$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.51450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97d1…4319backed No40c2,541$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed Yes59c2,282$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.212450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb6e…bbe5backed Yes60c2,078$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+111.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…5bf9backed Yes58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8402100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No23c1,954$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.1937841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes59c1,946$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.591457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3944…b898backed No39c1,926$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86a0…94e4backed Yes61c1,926$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc711…d3c6backed No40c1,538$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.963754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked No41c1,347$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.154447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes57c1,266$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.4934251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed No43c1,233$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.0944939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd03c…218ebacked Yes59c1,222$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+112.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1394…e426backed No42c1,200$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.911650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f47…af93backed Yes57c1,020$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.547437.8%28 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes59c1,010$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.5117945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa06b…57ccbacked No41c1,005$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07a1…e323backed Yes58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f09…ce17backed No42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No40c1,000$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.8934643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50019743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xa882…d89cbacked No42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45b2…128ebacked Yes58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…fb4ebacked Yes60c999$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63c6…4cc5backed No39c867$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.13450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5992…26c4backed Yes61c767$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.13771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+40.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes59c623.81$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.7615636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked No42c615$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2588633.7%29 W · 57 L-14.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No41c579.77$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.7168026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d99…04f3backed Yes31c515.84$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd968…bd18backed Yes76c515.38$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.692330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-41%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x69bb…fcb2backed Yes59c498$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.184100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+74.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e16…b78abacked No40c497.92$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.171050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes59c491.76$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.2411937%44 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Yes74c474.26$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.661346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e00…a3e7backed No40c465.14$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7e…4562backed No38c461.48$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.364250%21 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde6a…596fbacked Yes76c450.1$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2747…cf42backed Yes60c405.6$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No20c352.65$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.666031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Yes59c348.7$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.971947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe483…b5a0backed Yes59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.981643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe41a…a42dbacked No41c304.88$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1256636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x738d…4df6backed Yes77c290.98$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.04742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee0…a44cbacked No40c284.47$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6752…d728backed Yes60c282.7$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.08850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb262…395abacked Yes60c267.17$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Yes62c261.29$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.291145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e91…45b8backed Yes75c220$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cd3…3c5abacked Yes60c214.92$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.971838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe54b…d268backed Yes59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbfc…cd91backed No40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0db4…cc65backed Yes55c192$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913c…6e48backed No39c191.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f1…a619backed Yes55c190$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+100.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x049d…292abacked No43c187.39$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8050%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f83…6cd9backed Yes78c182.78$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.341936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7742…03e9backed Yes60c182.31$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.31425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-58.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cb8…43f6backed Yes59c180.44$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.98580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x530f…8714backed Yes62c167.74$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.741540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd244…f24cbacked Yes61c162.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.94835.4%17 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked No43c162.79$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7018433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa29b…a0b8backed No43c162.53$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.891241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0921…c655backed No41c162.39$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986d…e281backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1820…e3f7backed No41c158.66$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.053951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2fa…43adbacked Yes60c157.48$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.991163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd324…000bbacked No40c156.45$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224c…eb44backed No41c153.66$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-43.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c7d…5a77backed No41c150.41$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6750%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59b1…804bbacked No41c147.37$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x107b…6bd7backed No41c127.2$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No38c122.4$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5122050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd4…9198backed No35c121.02$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.83540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5d7…9a7ebacked Yes60c112.07$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29f3…33d2backed Yes62c110.6$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.033100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed No42c109.31$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.914042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…0420backed Yes63c106.87$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e3…79bcbacked Yes58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74c3…c1a8backed Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+50.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4118232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa24…3d23backed Yes61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde76…29aebacked Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401172.7%8 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.36per pick36cpaid+94.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8f51…787bbacked Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No38c99.96$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2414450.7%73 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa691…8ea2backed Yes59c97.51$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No42c96.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.374845.8%22 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8403…649fbacked No40c94.75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4630…a058backed No43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x910b…8b73backed No54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1a…0520backed Yes60c92.18$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.