NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fc88974e00246cf2cbb58b07ec851b200114146c39a4284bfffdb4495035e8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $287,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Thunder | 62c | 24,076$15,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,052.05 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Thunder | 62c | 20,817$12,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,998.94 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Thunder | 60c | 17,824$10,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,185.18 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Kings | 37c | 15,129$5,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,597.63 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Thunder | 63c | 12,139$7,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,491.3 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Kings | 40c | 10,638$4,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,203.94 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kings | 40c | 10,544$4,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,216.77 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…b575backed Kings | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Kings | 35c | 9,144$3,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215.06 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Kings | 29c | 8,992$2,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,636.15 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings | 38c | 6,995$2,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,663.05 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd645…43f6backed Kings | 42c | 6,670$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,801.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Thunder | 63c | 5,126$3,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.67 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Kings | 38c | 4,987$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.13 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Kings | 39c | 4,095$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.61 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Thunder | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Kings | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…fcbabacked Kings | 38c | 2,983$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.64 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Thunder | 60c | 2,874$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.94 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8823…4c34backed Kings | 35c | 2,869$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Kings | 46c | 2,690$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…d309backed Thunder | 61c | 2,048$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 38c | 2,017$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.25 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Thunder | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddb…0974backed Thunder | 63c | 1,984$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.13 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x861e…b54fbacked Kings | 38c | 1,853$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Thunder | 61c | 1,643$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.6 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4624…0a84backed Thunder | 60c | 1,640$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Kings | 37c | 1,639$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.36 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Thunder | 62c | 1,638$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.82 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Kings | 40c | 1,617$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.85 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kings | 30c | 1,609$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.02 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Kings | 39c | 1,541$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.94 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Thunder | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed Kings | 39c | 1,474$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…19bdbacked Kings | 37c | 1,450$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Thunder | 60c | 1,221$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.01 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…13a8backed Kings | 41c | 1,192$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.73 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Thunder | 62c | 1,192$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.99 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…1cfabacked Kings | 45c | 1,122$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…a7e8backed Thunder | 67c | 1,084$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.88 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Thunder | 59c | 1,065$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.45 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Thunder | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kings | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Kings | 39c | 954.2$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.14 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Kings | 39c | 855.26$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.06 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Thunder | 57c | 829.92$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.85 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…8416backed Thunder | 60c | 745.44$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.18 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3615…beeebacked Thunder | 61c | 693.07$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a02…9192backed Thunder | 62c | 693.06$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3a…4968backed Kings | 39c | 693.05$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe81f…aa42backed Kings | 40c | 693.05$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kings | 39c | 649.77$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.41 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e17…779abacked Thunder | 56c | 640.15$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.67 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad96…20eebacked Kings | 41c | 620$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Kings | 30c | 600.23$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.07 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…e446backed Thunder | 74c | 600$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Thunder | 61c | 594.59$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.37 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…21d8backed Thunder | 63c | 555.56$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.56 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Kings | 36c | 525.45$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.65 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Thunder | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Thunder | 58c | 454.1$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.72 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kings | 3c | 444$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 52c | 399.24$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.28 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b0…8e0dbacked Thunder | 78c | 372.33$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Thunder | 73c | 370$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3b…5cefbacked Thunder | 60c | 351.55$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.62 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…67a9backed Kings | 34c | 346.56$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778a…1a6dbacked Thunder | 61c | 329.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…33ccbacked Kings | 39c | 320.51$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Kings | 38c | 317.47$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.66 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Thunder | 60c | 313.86$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.54 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Thunder | 62c | 310.64$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.94 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Kings | 41c | 302.47$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.01 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Kings | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cb…1ea1backed Thunder | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Thunder | 59c | 296.39$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.39 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Kings | 35c | 296.31$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.93 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Thunder | 59c | 286.35$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.25 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…681abacked Kings | 36c | 282.93$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Thunder | 60c | 282.68$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.07 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…a536backed Kings | 38c | 263.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Kings | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 258 | 51.6%133 W · 125 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…6950backed Thunder | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Kings | 38c | 249.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2a…9146backed Kings | 41c | 244.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.41 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Kings | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c5…3f25backed Kings | 38c | 236.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…57a7backed Kings | 17c | 234.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Kings | 40c | 221.02$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…8516backed Kings | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 34.8%62 W · 116 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e2…bbb3backed Thunder | 59c | 206.23$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Kings | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a8…dab3backed Kings | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -77%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6459…c926backed Kings | 41c | 190$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Kings | 9c | 175$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…6e0ebacked Thunder | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…1b45backed Thunder | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…4634backed Thunder | 59c | 161.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…774ebacked Kings | 40c | 159.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.