Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64362e9522741782f6bdc4c7953c599977438b519a7f784d8a40e11abf855c3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff48…b0ecbacked Yes | 60c | 15,006$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,006.33 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 40c | 10,942$4,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,376.95 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 30c | 10,000$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.97 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…7c8abacked Yes | 60c | 8,397$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,398.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed No | 42c | 5,219$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.12 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 40c | 4,646$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.7 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Yes | 72c | 4,564$3,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.89 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Yes | 58c | 2,255$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 12c | 1,846$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.26 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 58c | 1,716$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.59 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…e540backed Yes | 58c | 1,712$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 60c | 1,624$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.48 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 42c | 1,342$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.35 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…188ebacked Yes | 58c | 1,117$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 41c | 1,059$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.45 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 41c | 1,024$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.07 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed No | 41c | 1,001$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.39 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 42c | 859.99$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.26 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 42c | 842.1$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.18 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 59c | 839.15$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.56 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Yes | 59c | 811.86$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.86 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 72c | 740.12$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.59 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed No | 42c | 724.15$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.14 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked Yes | 58c | 716.31$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.85 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 42c | 691.96$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.62 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 33c | 672.37$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.92 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No | 42c | 631.97$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.43 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 56c | 577.79$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.63 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yes | 58c | 571.36$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.97 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 67c | 549$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.56 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…69b2backed Yes | 58c | 517.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.15 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 58c | 499.22$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.67 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 76c | 496.23$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.24 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed No | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -7.2wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 66c | 400$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 5c | 384.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes | 59c | 369.49$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.49 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 40c | 369.33$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.73 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f2…fdbabacked Yes | 58c | 354.01$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9387…ce77backed No | 42c | 349.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1641…08a2backed Yes | 59c | 349.87$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 43c | 342$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.06 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 59c | 288.62$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.52 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Yes | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…9908backed Yes | 58c | 249.98$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.49 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Yes | 72c | 248.82$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed Yes | 71c | 234.48$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 41c | 209.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…c6f4backed Yes | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa943…a0dabacked No | 42c | 195.08$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…becebacked Yes | 57c | 140.25$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 41c | 139.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked No | 43c | 116$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8294…e98abacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x132e…12dcbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…f3e1backed Yes | 58c | 95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb302…0bb8backed No | 43c | 95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3431…cdeabacked No | 42c | 95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…0649backed Yes | 59c | 95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf89…ae4fbacked Yes | 57c | 90.15$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…c40ebacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 16c | 74.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 59c | 73.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9d…ddfabacked No | 43c | 71.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…a3b9backed Yes | 58c | 70.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…2f89backed Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc848…5ff7backed Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 56c | 66.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb509…e8d7backed No | 42c | 63.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac7…8deebacked Yes | 58c | 59.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5670…b7e3backed Yes | 58c | 59.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d31…1d0bbacked Yes | 59c | 59.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e8…48e0backed Yes | 58c | 55.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ee…caa4backed Yes | 57c | 53.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Yes | 59c | 51.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…a951backed Yes | 58c | 50.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…4f82backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed No | 42c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…019ebacked Yes | 58c | 47.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb4…6681backed No | 42c | 45.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…1fe7backed Yes | 58c | 44.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f06…cd40backed Yes | 58c | 42.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked No | 43c | 41.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…a6f8backed No | 41c | 41.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…254bbacked Yes | 57c | 40.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…2b68backed No | 42c | 39.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1add…f75cbacked Yes | 58c | 39.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-01?this page
- Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-01?No won
- Will Chelsea vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.