NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Suns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4341a3e4d82ef0c6b140e9c1dbb93ed397350aca4a87ac76b7da51422d2f4375
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Mavericks, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $507,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $544,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $507,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,582 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e80…59e8backed Suns | 52c | 74,878$38,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,936.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Mavericks | 48c | 55,038$26,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,619.99 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Suns | 52c | 36,551$18,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,922.91 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Suns | 44c | 32,007$14,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,083.13 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Mavericks | 77c | 28,968$22,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,636.89 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Mavericks | 47c | 24,965$11,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,290.45 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Mavericks | 50c | 19,932$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,932.42 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mavericks | 71c | 11,112$7,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,191.19 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Mavericks | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Suns | 54c | 7,912$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Suns | 52c | 6,999$3,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,672.78 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Suns | 16c | 6,818$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.06 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Mavericks | 47c | 6,686$3,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,537.93 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Suns | 15c | 6,563$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.38 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Mavericks | 48c | 5,743$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.51 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Suns | 22c | 5,214$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.54 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Mavericks | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Mavericks | 56c | 4,954$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.79 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Mavericks | 47c | 4,482$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.81 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 58c | 3,616$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.34 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Suns | 53c | 3,311$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.07 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Mavericks | 52c | 3,099$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.23 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Suns | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Suns | 53c | 2,963$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.07 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d5…38bfbacked Mavericks | 48c | 2,627$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Suns | 52c | 2,527$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Mavericks | 45c | 2,518$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.56 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Mavericks | 54c | 2,345$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.7 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eee…02fcbacked Mavericks | 49c | 2,243$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd07f…6c05backed Suns | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.95 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68b0…c482backed Mavericks | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.95 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Suns | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Suns | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.96 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961f…98f8backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,900$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4b…4a75backed Suns | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…0080backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,750$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.5 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Mavericks | 40c | 1,664$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.9 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Suns | 50c | 1,651$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.15 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Mavericks | 46c | 1,625$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.24 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Suns | 53c | 1,469$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.3 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb865…041bbacked Suns | 53c | 1,317$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d5…fc86backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,247$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Suns | 4c | 1,222$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Suns | 54c | 1,204$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Mavericks | 77c | 1,173$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Mavericks | 46c | 1,100$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Suns | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Suns | 27c | 1,000$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a01…3785backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Mavericks | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Suns | 53c | 999.96$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.98 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82c…bf59backed Suns | 14c | 980.34$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Mavericks | 61c | 973.15$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.71 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Mavericks | 45c | 900$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993d…f0a3backed Mavericks | 58c | 864.9$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…9d47backed Suns | 15c | 822.51$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Suns | 13c | 778.57$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mavericks | 77c | 748.14$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.8 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Mavericks | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Mavericks | 46c | 680.12$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.17 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mavericks | 47c | 652.98$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.08 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Suns | 19c | 643.94$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Suns | 40c | 610.51$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Suns | 19c | 600$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.26 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Mavericks | 64c | 580.2$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.64 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Suns | 52c | 573.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Suns | 18c | 554.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.77 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Mavericks | 49c | 551.02$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.02 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Suns | 21c | 506.33$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.33 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Suns | 42c | 500$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Suns | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Mavericks | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Mavericks | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Suns | 52c | 478.36$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.47 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Mavericks | 49c | 448.73$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.85 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Suns | 60c | 429.1$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.6 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Mavericks | 44c | 403.4$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.92 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d8…faebbacked Mavericks | 49c | 400.39$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…e082backed Suns | 19c | 399.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Mavericks | 47c | 399.97$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.98 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c88…0333backed Suns | 52c | 384.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4a…ba21backed Suns | 12c | 363.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…68f9backed Mavericks | 70c | 359.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6962…590fbacked Suns | 12c | 356.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Mavericks | 44c | 351$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.85 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Mavericks | 44c | 351$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.85 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Suns | 11c | 350$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Suns | 47c | 343.96$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.66 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -14.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks | 64c | 342.53$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.31 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c72…30debacked Suns | 17c | 340.58$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Suns | 19c | 307.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Suns | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…0ecabacked Suns | 15c | 290.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Suns | 16c | 287.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…e512backed Mavericks | 48c | 271.57$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.22 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…4f95backed Suns | 23c | 257.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Mavericks | 46c | 255$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.93 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Suns | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Suns | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 286 | 57.3%164 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.