La Liga · resolved market
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05a81ccce973817fd2288eaf244b9d84d76e09940c29c4769bd59b0b18851ee0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Over | 67c | 768.98$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 33c | 671.98$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.78 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 33c | 446.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.48 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…a7c5backed Over | 66c | 310$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 66c | 122.28$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 34c | 109.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 34c | 86.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Over | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…c5dcbacked Over | 66c | 40.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4b…a9aabacked Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Over | 67c | 28.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -13.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.