TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Islanders vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Islanders, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$155,135
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$169,795

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,135 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b5e…83f8backed Islanders37c79,088$29,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,257.417758.4%45 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Jets63c50,585$31,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,716.5422842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jets61c9,018$5,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,490.9592848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3df6…bb77backed Jets63c7,905$4,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,924.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c0…9cb4backed Islanders37c7,900$2,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,923475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+64.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Jets63c4,854$3,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.168139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc04d…69e7backed Jets64c4,709$3,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.46862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb22a…f94abacked Jets65c1,800$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6301560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd61c…5953backed Islanders35c1,798$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.271540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Jets66c1,587$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.136149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Jets62c1,368$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.291,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Jets63c1,180$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.613756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Jets65c1,103$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.9227958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Islanders38c1,000$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.0685148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Jets63c944$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.2879251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc575…3fb1backed Jets45c937$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.35922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-48.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17ed…c087backed Jets63c916.88$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Jets57c911.06$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.748950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Islanders7c679.53$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4932331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbdd…5905backed Jets64c621.88$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.88955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Jets46c540.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.962050%10 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Jets63c531.77$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.5749351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Islanders35c499.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1758537.6%32 W · 53 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Islanders11c467.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Jets63c424.99$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.2475155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Jets59c391.53$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.531,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jets63c317$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.2972847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Jets56c305.46$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.951,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…418fbacked Jets63c285$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.451353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b1…e1d7backed Islanders37c280$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-65.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Islanders36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Jets63c274.51$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8584051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed Islanders38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Islanders13c262$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.11895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1942…1e2fbacked Islanders38c242.34$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.09650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Jets63c236$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3260549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ead…761fbacked Islanders36c228.72$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Islanders58c215.93$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.323761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Islanders6c215.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.564831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Islanders38c213.16$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8162944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Jets63c197.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2581846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Jets52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3128842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Jets63c174.85$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.62646.2%12 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98ae…85febacked Jets65c174.85$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.21963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c9…271bbacked Islanders38c168.42$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6410744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd1…639bbacked Islanders38c167.37$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.551546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Jets64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2538040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc93…4249backed Jets64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.258254.9%45 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Jets65c153.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.881,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x113a…5696backed Jets64c153.83$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.611070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jets66c151.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.991,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Jets66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.573157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Islanders36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7db…e78fbacked Islanders37c147.92$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.73966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9f8…e042backed Jets64c142.19$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Jets63c141$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1748149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc990…dfe7backed Islanders37c140.81$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Islanders36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc1a…b35cbacked Jets65c137.36$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Islanders25c131.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.93,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8659…9178backed Islanders12c128.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ab…651abacked Islanders38c124.37$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…7defbacked Islanders57c122.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Islanders8c122.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Jets41c112.76$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.489553.7%51 W · 44 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfab6…b90ebacked Jets64c111.91$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.29757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Islanders36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406137.7%23 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb222…2241backed Islanders38c107.65$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.51944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2424…2751backed Islanders38c104.08$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.55944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1398…9329backed Jets63c103.31$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.19757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd97e…a81ebacked Islanders38c100.66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.251747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4e…b5efbacked Jets64c100.64$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.231346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jets59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4166951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd10a…91e9backed Jets65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3526059.6%155 W · 105 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfa…f191backed Islanders35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb50b…2009backed Jets65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+71.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf745…c3e5backed Jets64c99.05$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.66425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2513…0144backed Jets63c96.54$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.721145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05ca…50c3backed Jets64c96.23$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.641866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5eb9…ee09backed Jets64c95.77$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.481464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3f…63c7backed Islanders38c95.08$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.131050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f4…e5f6backed Islanders38c95.05$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.121637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e87…a5b0backed Islanders38c94.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.911968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe9ec…56f4backed Islanders38c93.68$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.62263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2d9…fbf3backed Jets64c93.22$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.56825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x24e2…6c2ebacked Jets64c92.52$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.311844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Jets65c92.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3124945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9c2…1f15backed Jets64c90.42$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.551770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9a1f…0227backed Islanders38c90.05$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.222462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x088f…12d1backed Jets66c89.91$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x342f…e786backed Jets64c85.09$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.63955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9959…0d51backed Islanders38c83.55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.48944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb217…5b91backed Jets64c81.13$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.21837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc07f…ad9dbacked Jets64c80.39$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.94862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58bb…1bd7backed Jets64c79.97$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.795054%27 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8464…a2e0backed Islanders37c79.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.53933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44fc…abb4backed Jets64c79.36$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.57633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e2a…0e15backed Jets64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.136041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25de…a006backed Jets65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.922065%13 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea4f…3463backed Jets64c76.84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.66771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.