Us Politics · resolved market
Trump signs national abortion ban?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79e6ec2dff92558eb36b5e2e2221bf4be45364f3726897163d80702abb51d315
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,413,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,459,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,413,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f74…2314backed Yes | 17c | 117,155$20,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,024.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb404…0a05backed Yes | 8c | 86,464$6,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,677.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…4e58backed Yes | 9c | 78,713$7,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,066.51 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 1c | 49,408$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.96 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…0eddbacked Yes | 6c | 31,898$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…a65ebacked Yes | 5c | 25,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 5c | 19,717$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.82 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed Yes | 7c | 18,238$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.04 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…f5f7backed Yes | 17c | 17,950$2,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,971.72 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 15c | 16,408$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.89 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5230…e16cbacked Yes | 11c | 15,437$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 10c | 14,098$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.1 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 11c | 13,958$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.16 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed Yes | 12c | 13,900$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bf…1800backed Yes | 9c | 11,200$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf241…a9a8backed Yes | 9c | 11,176$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 7c | 11,048$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.39 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 6c | 10,780$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.54 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 7c | 10,076$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.3 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…b02dbacked No | 80c | 9,839$7,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d09…1714backed Yes | 7c | 9,136$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 8c | 7,903$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.2 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 21c | 7,756$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 11c | 7,515$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.61 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 12c | 7,158$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.46 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…7d0cbacked Yes | 7c | 6,867$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…e5b6backed Yes | 7c | 6,500$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…7dd1backed Yes | 10c | 5,739$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.23 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd6…39b0backed Yes | 9c | 5,687$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 5c | 5,436$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.82 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…e860backed Yes | 5c | 4,995$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 79c | 4,830$3,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.13 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 8c | 4,089$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.14 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…4d6cbacked No | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 8c | 3,725$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.5 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 77c | 3,696$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.64 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7215…bd1dbacked Yes | 10c | 3,620$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…24e6backed Yes | 14c | 3,500$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 8c | 3,474$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.48 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…0a79backed Yes | 8c | 3,125$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked Yes | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1804…1b4dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,682$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 6c | 2,583$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 9c | 2,450$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310e…5050backed Yes | 7c | 2,259$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65fb…92cabacked Yes | 5c | 2,199$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Yes | 11c | 2,102$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.3 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 29c | 2,047$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.28 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d9…7c18backed Yes | 7c | 2,011$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9921…1c14backed Yes | 6c | 1,913$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…6311backed Yes | 9c | 1,677$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f4…54d2backed Yes | 14c | 1,517$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0d…ec73backed Yes | 1c | 1,513$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…8194backed Yes | 9c | 1,450$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 7c | 1,349$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.57 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…77d2backed Yes | 8c | 1,300$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x867c…5d65backed Yes | 9c | 1,233$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…966bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,161$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.17 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +7.5wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1e…795fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,140$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1729…61a6backed Yes | 9c | 1,093$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8282…b854backed Yes | 8c | 1,090$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…183dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,078$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 16c | 1,055$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.47 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…4816backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb799…c753backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…14f2backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc609…e74dbacked Yes | 8c | 999.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 8c | 943$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fe…e618backed Yes | 6c | 879.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb316…6a9fbacked Yes | 7c | 857.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 17c | 799.98$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 7c | 799.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 152 | 27.6%42 W · 110 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ef…dc01backed Yes | 29c | 795$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 13c | 755.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…4db3backed Yes | 13c | 750$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9e…82fabacked Yes | 8c | 733.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…11d1backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…e125backed No | 80c | 700$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 10c | 691$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2581…f62fbacked Yes | 6c | 679.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe5…b4b1backed Yes | 7c | 668.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcc…35debacked Yes | 9c | 640.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…5d6fbacked Yes | 10c | 625$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fb…d2f5backed Yes | 10c | 608.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…235dbacked Yes | 6c | 600$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f3…8348backed Yes | 8c | 595$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Yes | 17c | 583.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 10c | 578.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 12c | 576.88$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb31…dc5cbacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8455…07cebacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed Yes | 13c | 549.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c96…f26abacked No | 79c | 548.87$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 5c | 548.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 28c | 540$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.4 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddf…5aaabacked Yes | 17c | 511.76$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…6ff3backed Yes | 16c | 505.9$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.