Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d436a21f5039428f110656780bb7b6a7149fffeb4d82edc08cb3b24cc4be55a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91f8…d951backed No | 66c | 1,300$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.57 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…4eedbacked No | 67c | 1,050$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.6 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 36c | 840.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.27 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…8af6backed No | 74c | 811.42$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.28 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 39c | 675.29$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.78 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 4c | 549.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa95e…a8edbacked Yes | 34c | 534.73$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.92 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 25c | 485.55$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.17 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2549…c8b1backed Yes | 34c | 465.65$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.91 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 32c | 432.82$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.27 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 10c | 395.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 18c | 391.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.82 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3f…fde2backed No | 64c | 358.51$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 47c | 327.84$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.29 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 68c | 302.15$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.57 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…5905backed Yes | 47c | 290.42$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.98 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 29c | 247.88$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.82 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 32c | 233.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.15 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 33c | 233.33$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.87 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 64c | 214$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.96 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…8a8bbacked No | 34c | 207.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked Yes | 35c | 204.83$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.14 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 74c | 194.94$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 31c | 181.73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.39 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 26c | 174$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.76 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 44c | 169.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.59 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 22c | 169$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 75c | 167.53$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.24 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…8239backed Yes | 37c | 166.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.19 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 61c | 163.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.69 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 24c | 161.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 62c | 159.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 28c | 158.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.64 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 51c | 155.91$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 45c | 138.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…c5cebacked Yes | 27c | 137.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 34c | 135.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.08 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…7075backed No | 17c | 132.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 32c | 132.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.31 | 466 | 26%121 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 26c | 131$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.94 | 548 | 53.1%291 W · 257 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 51c | 121.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 33c | 120.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.91 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…a081backed Yes | 28c | 108$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.02 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked No | 16c | 105.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 563 | 22.9%129 W · 434 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…f811backed Yes | 41c | 101.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf3…4807backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.8wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438c…986bbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5d…d8b5backed Yes | 55c | 90.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed No | 59c | 88.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…ce8fbacked No | 33c | 87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fe…74bcbacked No | 66c | 83.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 186 | 71%132 W · 54 L | +19.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 28c | 83.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed No | 66c | 82.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked No | 55c | 82.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 31c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 726 | 24.8%180 W · 546 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd01…e719backed Yes | 38c | 79.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed No | 46c | 75.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 70c | 64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…ea0fbacked No | 72c | 63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…0ac4backed Yes | 35c | 61.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 69c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 27c | 58.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 52c | 56.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 43c | 52.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 52.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed No | 55c | 49.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…8326backed Yes | 58c | 47.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 33c | 44.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dec…de48backed Yes | 37c | 44.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…eeafbacked Yes | 34c | 43.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 167 | 33.5%56 W · 111 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 38c | 43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 72c | 41.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 33c | 40.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…eb96backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf06b…f629backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…8798backed No | 71c | 39.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 165 | 66.1%109 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 31c | 35.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 66c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 46c | 34.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed No | 76c | 34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…b6ddbacked No | 77c | 33.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked No | 67c | 33.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 37c | 32.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 70c | 32.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…7481backed Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked No | 58c | 29.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 70c | 28.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 76c | 27.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 47c | 22.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.