Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x570c7cafba0ed09e83708c1d1ee55a41d36f77e6ac757b3a626f4f31d095bc2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 39c | 716.1$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 57c | 700.53$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.18 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82e…db6cbacked Yes | 2c | 623.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c59…0c2cbacked No | 67c | 441.66$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.86 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 79c | 427.82$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.94 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 24c | 364.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 13c | 353.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…b251backed No | 70c | 326.03$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.81 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 30c | 308.38$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.51 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 38c | 215.46$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.91 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 68c | 202.18$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 60c | 198.91$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.97 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 41c | 188.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cd…eaecbacked Yes | 7c | 134.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 64c | 128.93$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 21c | 124.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa95e…a8edbacked Yes | 55c | 119.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 36c | 113.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 466 | 26%121 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed Yes | 15c | 110.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 19c | 102.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 41c | 97.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…c84fbacked No | 64c | 90.48$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 62c | 90.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed Yes | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Yes | 22c | 88.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 34c | 88.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 23c | 88.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 42c | 81.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf06b…f629backed Yes | 19c | 79.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 69c | 71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 25c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 41c | 69.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 40c | 67.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…f2c9backed Yes | 39c | 64.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…f1a8backed Yes | 56c | 62.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…6ff8backed Yes | 51c | 61.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 193 | 45.6%88 W · 105 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…4f51backed No | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed Yes | 21c | 61.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 60c | 60.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 62c | 58.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 212 | 68.4%145 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…3db1backed Yes | 44c | 57.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 40c | 55.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 67c | 51.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…5905backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 63c | 49.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…4dedbacked Yes | 41c | 48.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c0…eb75backed No | 62c | 47.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 61c | 45.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 24c | 44.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 41c | 44.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 59c | 43.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 38c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 37c | 40.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a23…932abacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…7183backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 44c | 39.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 57c | 39.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 60c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 44c | 36.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 62c | 34.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc18…d7c1backed Yes | 61c | 32.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 65c | 32.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dec…de48backed Yes | 46c | 32.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…4eb6backed No | 62c | 31.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…9157backed Yes | 38c | 30.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 245 | 31%76 W · 169 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 35c | 30.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…7481backed Yes | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 58c | 24.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…8f74backed No | 64c | 23.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…9fb3backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 809 | 62.1%502 W · 307 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…3fc9backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfc…8d4fbacked No | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 95 | 73.7%70 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…5585backed No | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 29?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.