Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde612070392ee412e41c83ecf6bc39095ca8677606219444c98e622c8e5b33bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof LYON, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked FlyQuest | 61c | 825.69$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.02 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked LYON | 37c | 370.08$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.93 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e83…a620backed FlyQuest | 63c | 361.78$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.86 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed FlyQuest | 60c | 272.69$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.07 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed LYON | 42c | 239.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa11…e3c0backed LYON | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed FlyQuest | 58c | 188.31$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.09 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked LYON | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed LYON | 40c | 150.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a96…2f52backed FlyQuest | 62c | 111.3$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed LYON | 39c | 107.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…4292backed LYON | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed LYON | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed LYON | 40c | 75.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked LYON | 47c | 64.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 227 | 41%93 W · 134 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed LYON | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…8ee1backed LYON | 42c | 54.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…d09cbacked LYON | 40c | 52.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed LYON | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed LYON | 39c | 41.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed LYON | 39c | 32.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonFlyQuest won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerFlyQuest won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.