Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32b1f0e1e449436611753c7225cc38fb838ab37d872aee1c4d2df145f6eafc16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 21c | 1,489$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.92 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 20c | 1,112$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.12 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 32c | 619.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Yes | 37c | 481.24$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.38 | 155 | 27.7%43 W · 112 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x938d…8674backed Yes | 38c | 400$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 467 | 33.4%156 W · 311 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 69c | 336.08$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…ac41backed Yes | 25c | 334.43$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 72c | 324.02$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 76c | 291.67$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.71 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 240$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 65c | 225.23$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.42 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 78c | 220.66$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7adc…a971backed Yes | 33c | 207.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 22c | 201.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 13c | 181.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 75c | 165.49$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 24c | 149.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 72c | 145.16$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 52c | 142$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 74c | 128.68$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 72c | 124.7$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 63c | 122.69$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…9fd3backed No | 64c | 117.91$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…da78backed Yes | 32c | 116.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 265 | 33.2%88 W · 177 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 70c | 109.07$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 27c | 106.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed Yes | 21c | 103.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 102.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…2ca4backed Yes | 40c | 100.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 208 | 33.2%69 W · 139 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 40c | 91.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 77c | 87.49$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked No | 62c | 83.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…92e4backed Yes | 29c | 80.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 277 | 44%122 W · 155 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5710…b854backed Yes | 37c | 78.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 56c | 77.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 73c | 72.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Yes | 33c | 60.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 80c | 58.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 213 | 70.9%151 W · 62 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 74c | 57.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 65c | 57.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 43c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 70c | 53.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 21c | 53.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 21c | 52.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed No | 76c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 439 | 59.5%261 W · 178 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 78c | 51.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 71c | 49.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 74c | 47.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…6468backed Yes | 37c | 40.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…24e0backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 258 | 77.5%200 W · 58 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed Yes | 29c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 72c | 38.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 59c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…8798backed No | 73c | 37.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 165 | 66.1%109 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 37.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 65c | 37.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3b…d0a9backed No | 78c | 35.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 76cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed No | 48c | 35.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 417 | 52%217 W · 200 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed Yes | 43c | 33.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 341 | 51.3%175 W · 166 L | -26.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…1c40backed No | 70c | 32.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 153 | 69.9%107 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 31c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 36c | 30.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…8d41backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 423 | 66.4%281 W · 142 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 70c | 28.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 79c | 27.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 56c | 26.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e16…7f14backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 220 | 64.5%142 W · 78 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 76c | 23.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb6…671dbacked Yes | 47c | 23.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…ad5abacked No | 72c | 22.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 502 | 61%306 W · 196 L | -17.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bc…7714backed No | 68c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa016…67c2backed No | 64c | 20.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 511 | 56.6%289 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 927 | 61.7%572 W · 355 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…8a61backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced6…2dc1backed No | 66c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 280 | 68.6%192 W · 88 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 74c | 17.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 760 | 59.2%450 W · 310 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…2c69backed No | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…b97ebacked No | 68c | 16.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 280 | 35.4%99 W · 181 L | -69.3wins | -0.25per pick | 60cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 25-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 74c | 16.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c1…b127backed No | 67c | 15.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 170 | 20%34 W · 136 L | -21.0wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b62…042fbacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…d572backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 374 | 65.2%244 W · 130 L | +23.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed0…1258backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 77c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…3f9dbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 155 | 34.8%54 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on July 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on July 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.