Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecda6c6661c205098b1c728079319ff89bf418883ecd20090697d54e2c60610a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91f8…d951backed No | 66c | 1,546$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.82 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 25c | 915.36$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.7 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 67c | 867.97$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.59 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d98…261ebacked Yes | 7c | 650.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…5668backed No | 44c | 623.94$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.67 | 96 | 17.7%17 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked No | 69c | 414.12$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…e42abacked No | 77c | 399.98$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.94 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…c8ffbacked Yes | 17c | 388.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 324 | 40.1%130 W · 194 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 16c | 360.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…a0babacked No | 78c | 322.37$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.37 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 27c | 320.31$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.21 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 79c | 316.55$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 67c | 305.39$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.56 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 14c | 300$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc34…33aebacked Yes | 13c | 271.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 25cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 38c | 248.35$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.11 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…07dfbacked Yes | 38c | 244.66$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.64 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 29c | 243.43$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 17c | 242.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…c304backed Yes | 30c | 241.94$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 160 | 38.8%62 W · 98 L | +18.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 78c | 230.58$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked Yes | 55c | 230.58$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.75 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 10c | 215.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb96e…3ddfbacked Yes | 36c | 201.59$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf325…f8e0backed No | 74c | 199.41$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 37c | 198.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…d7b8backed No | 61c | 189.36$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.33 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 45c | 178.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 64c | 173.24$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 23c | 169.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 26c | 167.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 47c | 157.61$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…b95ebacked Yes | 20c | 147.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 419 | 66.6%279 W · 140 L | +36.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed Yes | 55c | 145.76$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.15 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dd…4226backed Yes | 25c | 145.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 35c | 143.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed Yes | 20c | 138.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 27c | 129.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…75ddbacked Yes | 24c | 123.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 241 | 41.9%101 W · 140 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b37…3a72backed Yes | 25c | 120.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517d…f41fbacked Yes | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Yes | 16c | 119.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371b…8786backed No | 68c | 114.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…ae48backed Yes | 18c | 113.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +22.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 44c | 112.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 45c | 109.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 26c | 101.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked Yes | 29c | 100.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 563 | 22.9%129 W · 434 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…77e8backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 126 | 25.4%32 W · 94 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9188…e046backed Yes | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 569 | 21.8%124 W · 445 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…262dbacked Yes | 23c | 99.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | +21.0wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 35c | 99.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 50c | 97.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed No | 69c | 96.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 53c | 90.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Yes | 20c | 89.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 173 | 10.4%18 W · 155 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…a351backed Yes | 16c | 88.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7b…7a75backed Yes | 35c | 85.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 271 | 29.2%79 W · 192 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…e62bbacked Yes | 44c | 85.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 18c | 85.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…a42dbacked Yes | 46c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 203 | 27.1%55 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed Yes | 43c | 79.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc66c…7c32backed Yes | 54c | 79.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 15c | 77.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 16c | 74.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…1cf6backed No | 78c | 73.68$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 62c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd746…2c6fbacked No | 76c | 66.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bd…2c9dbacked No | 71c | 62.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 213 | 40.8%87 W · 126 L | +23.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +34%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed No | 74c | 62.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…0cf2backed Yes | 40c | 60.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 445 | 36.6%163 W · 282 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed No | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 41c | 59.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a87…911fbacked No | 77c | 55.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed No | 69c | 54.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…89b7backed No | 55c | 54.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 36c | 54.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 25c | 49.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b4…5199backed Yes | 49c | 48.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 43c | 48.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…53adbacked No | 80c | 48.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…bf4abacked Yes | 46c | 43.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3163…15c2backed Yes | 54c | 42.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…cf4abacked Yes | 47c | 41.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 69c | 41.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 352 | 64.8%228 W · 124 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43f…a889backed No | 79c | 39.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 174 | 57.5%100 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 29c | 39.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…df20backed Yes | 52c | 34.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…e96abacked Yes | 36c | 34.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…8577backed Yes | 36c | 34.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 191 | 33.5%64 W · 127 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…b34abacked Yes | 36c | 34.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2b…d6a7backed Yes | 36c | 34.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 66c | 34.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 50c | 32.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 403 | 37.2%150 W · 253 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked Yes | 50c | 31.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea4…90edbacked No | 76c | 30.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb07…5b0fbacked No | 59c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 18?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.