Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SBV Excelsior vs. NEC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc15bef93faee21d268000473e64baeae1a6808e494a97a318a37baac7cabcaf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 80c | 3,619$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.81 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 20c | 1,261$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.99 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 75c | 832.65$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.21 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 773.11$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.28 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 723$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.75 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 350$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 348.03$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.01 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 213.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 20c | 201.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 26c | 179.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 165$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 154.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 151.05$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 144.75$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 79c | 125.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 120.85$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…c9a8backed No | 77c | 117.16$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 75.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 20c | 67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 19c | 64.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed Yes | 21c | 64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Yes | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked No | 73c | 25.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 76c | 13.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SBV Excelsior vs. NEC end in a draw?this page
- Will NEC win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.