TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,847
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,779

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,847 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes64c8,000$5,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,119.987552%39 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No36c2,679$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.781740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No36c2,206$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.8442962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No39c1,574$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.072,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes64c1,510$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.0620046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes47c1,178$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.85125.5%13 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No36c1,146$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.358153.1%43 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No47c977.22$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.788,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No31c894.26$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.845,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd57d…80d0backed Yes65c800$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+95.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes50c579.59$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29084943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked No39c517.84$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.849831.6%31 W · 67 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No38c499.99$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.9920065%130 W · 70 L+18.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No50c433$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.852944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No36c400$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25620846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No36c349.16$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.623,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes62c269.8$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3310456.7%59 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed No38c249.22$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5717143.9%75 W · 96 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No37c241$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.8313545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No37c234.13$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9330847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Yes63c219.54$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.676558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No49c213.96$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.8236757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a5f…e226backed No38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1242951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No50c190.21$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6228158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes62c185.1$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.762,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed No38c179.57$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.335962.7%37 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Yes62c162.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2216255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No37c159.93$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.791,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No36c158.18$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.931,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b39…d801backed Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No48c134.84$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2633560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes66c123.34$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1318160.2%109 W · 72 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f55…4213backed No34c121.95$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+60.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No23c113.72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No54c103.24$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.439361.3%57 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No47c101.12$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6417857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6151654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602568%17 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No50c99.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9319955.8%111 W · 88 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209344.1%41 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes40c83.25$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6785220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No64c80.37$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.141,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes42c78.73$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4394848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Yes64c78.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507957%45 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No24c78.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.843,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes64c65.83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.138560%51 W · 34 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked No60c65$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.196043.3%26 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd8b…6cd9backed No26c61.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.88666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+51.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No36c59.42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.032,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes64c59.38$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3820142.3%85 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No53c58.84$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3916842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Yes62c57.42$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.69953.5%53 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes73c51.41$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5357540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked No47c49.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2524654.9%135 W · 111 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea9…469bbacked Yes64c46.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302450%12 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed No36c45.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.288851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed No36c45.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.283764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No36c45.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2841256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes52c44.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.541,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8d6…4af7backed No36c41.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.65650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No32c40.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7818154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No33c37.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7112827.3%35 W · 93 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No37c36.46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9729053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Yes62c33.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8113050.8%66 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7486…c339backed Yes58c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.058439.3%33 W · 51 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No42c28.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5322145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5de5…1139backed Yes58c28.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No39c27.62$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8926160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No39c27.62$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8919056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked No55c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.156036.7%22 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed No47c26.67$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.111872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+44.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7125…a5aabacked Yes78c25.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.74633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.6wins-0.43per pick77cpaid-58.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes62c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.551,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes63c24.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.281,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2b…e467backed Yes63c23.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc1c…2bf2backed Yes56c23.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131675%12 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc8b…973cbacked Yes65c23.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Yes60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.910943.1%47 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Yes64c17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8811059.1%65 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…6dbebacked Yes64c15.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.07540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a05…8573backed No67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.