South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Monterrey vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4cb689982a77e27a3b4480034c92bc3ed102d52ee034d9e53bb95cdb041340b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 1,006$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.89 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 942.44$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 8c | 882.42$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.06 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 666.2$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.92 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…b6eabacked No | 16c | 589.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +264.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 51c | 450.01$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.36 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 33c | 440.64$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.35 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 68c | 335.19$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.39 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 75c | 248.58$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.49 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 64c | 244.71$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.04 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked No | 38c | 227$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.69 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…515bbacked Yes | 80c | 216$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed No | 76c | 194.27$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 9c | 164.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 25c | 124.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 18c | 107.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 40c | 95.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked No | 30c | 90$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 13c | 79.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.21 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 34c | 77.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 34c | 77.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 34c | 77.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 34c | 73.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 34c | 73.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 60.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 22c | 53.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7c…efe1backed Yes | 48c | 48.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 25c | 46.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 30c | 42.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 45c | 40.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 68c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed No | 35c | 28.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 80c | 18.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…2bf2backed No | 77c | 16.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Monterrey vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
- Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.