La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-04-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c679586ead76e51259f734ea308d7921c936cb2e65a650e3ffd36e9733b4c2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $250,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Yes | 0c | 205,328$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.46 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Yes | 28c | 3,277$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.38 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…4857backed No | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Yes | 8c | 1,743$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.55 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed No | 66c | 1,273$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.9 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 1,258$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.21 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 14c | 1,232$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.87 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 8c | 1,125$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 33c | 786.22$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.81 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed Yes | 8c | 735.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 29c | 547.91$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.86 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 5c | 483.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 27c | 414.68$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.03 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed No | 63c | 352.26$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.62 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.8wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 62c | 293.63$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.21 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 37c | 285.03$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 10c | 281$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 257.18$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6724…9592backed Yes | 8c | 226.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47d1…7618backed No | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 38c | 207.93$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.83 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…5ab5backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 62c | 180$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 31c | 179.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed No | 68c | 178.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.63 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 78c | 167.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 70c | 162.52$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…bc86backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 75cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 74c | 135.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 74c | 135.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 73c | 126.56$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 74c | 125.3$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 64c | 119.81$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 73c | 114.23$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 34c | 113.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…cccabacked Yes | 15c | 105.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…8db6backed Yes | 28c | 102.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 92 | 76.1%70 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…7343backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…f812backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 74c | 97.45$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed No | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01dc…183ebacked No | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 37c | 86.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 74c | 85.3$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 35c | 85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…f5e9backed Yes | 36c | 78.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 73c | 77.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd392…02b0backed Yes | 32c | 68.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 34c | 67.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 33c | 60.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 34c | 58.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed Yes | 36c | 58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 18c | 55.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9822…c9b2backed Yes | 29c | 48.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked No | 68c | 39.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 63c | 35.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 35c | 34.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 119 | 62.2%74 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 73c | 33.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa87f…1717backed No | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb446…2daabacked No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29b…da59backed No | 73c | 27.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked No | 69c | 27.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 73c | 19.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed No | 73c | 16.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3063…e5e1backed No | 68c | 14.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-04-02?this page
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?No won
- Will SD Eibar win on 2026-04-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.