Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d0ed991e2542c8c3aaf420efe455581edb00cf28def3b32f101ebf5374cf9f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 72c | 53,677$38,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,852.84 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 48,614$13,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,511.94 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 72c | 22,385$16,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,267.79 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 27c | 17,243$4,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,601.79 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 16,084$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444.25 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 28c | 7,767$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.76 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 29c | 7,000$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 28c | 5,527$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.56 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 5,169$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.25 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 28c | 3,440$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.21 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 28c | 2,454$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.65 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 2,243$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.04 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 26c | 1,236$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.99 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 28c | 1,164$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.85 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…f688backed Yes | 2c | 1,156$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Yes | 28c | 991.49$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.7 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 72c | 730.56$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 69cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 28c | 700$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.67 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 69c | 687.35$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.08 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 28c | 600$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.42 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 27c | 599.79$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.93 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 520.46$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.83 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 30c | 467.09$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.26 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…095ebacked Yes | 28c | 368.43$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Yes | 28c | 349.11$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 181 | 55.2%100 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 31c | 272.85$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 22c | 272.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -11.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Yes | 28c | 249.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 21c | 164.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 162$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked Yes | 29c | 140.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Yes | 28c | 124.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 28c | 113.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 25c | 93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Yes | 28c | 84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 140 | 57.1%80 W · 60 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 31c | 80.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Yes | 29c | 72.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Yes | 27c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…1583backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 29c | 69.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 29c | 69.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 29c | 69.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 29c | 69.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 29c | 69.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 29c | 69.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed Yes | 18c | 66.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 28c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…4fb3backed Yes | 28c | 53.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6c…e9a0backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed90…d1ffbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 24c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 44.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 28c | 44.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 29c | 40.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 30 | 86.7%26 W · 4 L | +9.2wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb51c…2e68backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…2a81backed No | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 29c | 36.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x967f…a5d9backed No | 68c | 28.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaac…2e35backed No | 72c | 27.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…a036backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 69c | 19.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 72c | 17.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…8d74backed No | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 15.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?this page
- Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
- Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.