South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Santos Laguna vs. CF América end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a46450e2c38eac663d3fcc063d875e0ff521c379580f65df520dbec3e70da65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 13,546$9,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,693.58 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 27c | 3,994$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,908.76 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 24c | 1,623$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.38 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 21c | 1,516$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.59 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 10c | 1,275$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.28 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 1,255$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.05 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 47c | 1,019$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.15 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 22c | 747.78$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.27 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Yes | 54c | 731.39$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.39 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 45c | 660.07$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.78 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 22c | 623.76$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.53 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 34c | 479.33$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.38 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 47c | 417.43$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.92 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 31c | 364.41$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.37 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 21c | 311$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.23 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 29c | 290.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.17 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 26c | 284.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 25c | 266.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.81 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 37c | 239.57$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.93 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 37c | 239.57$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.93 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Yes | 37c | 239.57$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.93 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 37c | 239.57$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.93 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 37c | 239.57$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.93 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 37c | 239.57$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.93 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 37c | 239.57$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.93 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 162.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.76 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 37c | 143.73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.55 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 13c | 139$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 77c | 137.09$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.1 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 22c | 134.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.08 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Yes | 78c | 128.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…657ebacked Yes | 28c | 121.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked No | 29c | 118.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 33c | 115.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.3 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…8488backed Yes | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 22c | 106.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.04 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…fed3backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 17c | 95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 62c | 94.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7f…64b7backed Yes | 63c | 81.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 51c | 72.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 33c | 70.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Yes | 55c | 69.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…13a3backed Yes | 51c | 64.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 71c | 63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 56c | 63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…909abacked Yes | 71c | 62.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 17c | 60.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ca…5ad9backed Yes | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked No | 36c | 57.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 39.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked No | 72c | 36.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 62c | 36.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 37c | 33.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7a…3f62backed Yes | 46c | 32.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed No | 34c | 32.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Yes | 53c | 30.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7798…9ef0backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 70c | 21.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…5f7bbacked No | 54c | 20.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…914cbacked Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked No | 77c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 76cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06f1…9d77backed No | 68c | 17.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c7…3e1dbacked Yes | 73c | 17.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1f…feb5backed No | 74c | 15.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 78c | 12.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Santos Laguna vs. CF América end in a draw?this page
- Will CF América win on 2026-04-04?No won
- Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.