Asian League · resolved market
Will Jeju SK FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ce3d239b3dcb26b9fb3b858e61035e8b8b54908b270f7b93dee9d4bf0d09de8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfa3…5d5cbacked Yes | 69c | 725.11$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 32c | 592.74$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.89 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 519.01$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.93 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d5…094bbacked Yes | 22c | 456.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 25c | 401.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked No | 16c | 389.93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 15cpaid | +411.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 366.81$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.23 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 68c | 335.71$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.43 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 197.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 66c | 188.12$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed No | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed No | 69c | 138.48$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 42c | 138.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes | 31c | 128.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.37per pick | 55cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 66c | 96.35$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 93.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 58c | 80.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 17c | 74.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 19c | 65.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 24c | 61.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 75c | 52.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…ccf4backed No | 69c | 44.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 52c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed No | 75c | 30.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked No | 69c | 23.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 36 | 83.3%30 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 78cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 75c | 15.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeju SK FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?this page
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-04-04?No won
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.