Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3744782e71dc14ff8d113b886708c6e5153f80cd4212e4d3e039072c37880aae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 1,392$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.37 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c2…7291backed Yes | 33c | 914.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 17c | 907$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.38 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 724.99$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.04 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 657.7$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 30c | 577.77$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 21c | 322.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 76c | 194.68$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 29c | 161$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 151$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 21c | 137.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 11c | 118.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +82%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 29c | 114$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 9c | 112.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +13.5wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 15c | 104$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 19cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 69c | 103.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 26c | 93.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…b540backed No | 76c | 93$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 28c | 87.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc861…f0fabacked Yes | 13c | 82.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…ff7cbacked Yes | 31c | 81.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 76c | 73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 16c | 68.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…6b3fbacked Yes | 29c | 61.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 33c | 60.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed No | 75c | 57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 30.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 74c | 17.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 17.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-05?No won
- Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-04-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.