Fifa International · resolved market
Will San Marino vs. Andorra end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x806253fb0b491db7ed0c9bccc7e6ef97d6d5238f30434e4fac6a60e5827d58e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 38c | 1,453$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.89 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8b…e0dbbacked Yes | 56c | 1,436$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 51c | 1,064$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.81 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 42c | 910.39$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.75 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 32c | 638.04$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 47c | 425.53$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.19 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 48c | 371.4$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.65 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 365.66$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.97 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 44c | 281.36$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.04 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 269.88$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.52 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 45c | 220.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 218.08$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.93 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…9200backed Yes | 50c | 199.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.02 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 37c | 165.16$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 45c | 157.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 261 | 46%120 W · 141 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 30c | 156.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.22 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 137.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 52c | 133.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 68c | 115.31$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.41 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 112.54$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.69 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…bd81backed Yes | 66c | 106.87$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 29c | 101.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.85 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6d…6b36backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 22c | 99.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 245 | 37.1%91 W · 154 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 22c | 97.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.02 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 31c | 96.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 51c | 94.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 464 | 45.5%211 W · 253 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed No | 45c | 91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4693…bf61backed Yes | 42c | 84.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 61c | 76.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 53c | 75.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 202 | 50%101 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 38c | 73.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 70c | 71.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 27c | 69.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 71c | 65.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 29c | 58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed Yes | 32c | 54.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 70c | 50.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…287ebacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 65c | 46.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 70c | 42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 70c | 39.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 26c | 39.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 29c | 39.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 30c | 38.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 72c | 37.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 345 | 51.9%179 W · 166 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…3f86backed No | 63c | 35.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed No | 64c | 34.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 31c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…a9abbacked Yes | 71c | 31.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3229…4299backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7696…59a2backed Yes | 72c | 26.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa561…cf19backed No | 69c | 23.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50c4…ab2fbacked No | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 70c | 18.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 73c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc491…13f8backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 74cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Marino vs. Andorra end in a draw?this page
- Will Andorra win on 2026-03-31?No won
- Will San Marino win on 2026-03-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.