La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Zaragoza vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86c9f84145d0e909ddca4772e27ea0dc2e528c193e180f49e2a6bcc1eea48158
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.83 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked No | 60c | 1,283$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.19 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 40c | 1,219$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.81 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 996.34$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.41 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 2c | 893.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 70c | 680.27$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.08 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked No | 70c | 554.09$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 27c | 481.96$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.71 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 30c | 430.27$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.08 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 79c | 381.01$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.94 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 39c | 338.56$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 29c | 331.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.27 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked Yes | 38c | 325.55$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.66 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 29c | 248.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 71c | 245.24$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.12 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed Yes | 29c | 206$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed Yes | 34c | 204.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 199.56$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…5bfebacked Yes | 47c | 196$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…145cbacked No | 70c | 181.03$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 64c | 169.69$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 166.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf103…c4d6backed Yes | 8c | 127.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 28c | 105.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 102.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 48c | 102.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…d64abacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked No | 62c | 99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 15c | 95.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 28c | 84.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Yes | 28c | 84.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 60c | 83.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 70c | 79.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 18c | 77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Yes | 30c | 70.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…a287backed Yes | 36c | 61.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Yes | 51c | 58.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 24c | 58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 76c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +91%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 53c | 55.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 57c | 52.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 37c | 51.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…5619backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 43c | 49.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Yes | 33c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 42.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 40c | 41.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 69c | 40.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed Yes | 59c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbf…8d1ebacked Yes | 29c | 37.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 48c | 37.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Yes | 33c | 36.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 41c | 36.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 29c | 35.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.22per pick | 26cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd0…a092backed Yes | 31c | 32.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 29.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed No | 61c | 22.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed No | 68c | 14.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Zaragoza vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-03-29?No won
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-03-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.