Boxing · resolved market
Zuffa Boxing 7: Massey vs. Clarke (Cruiserweight, Main)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x563023a954b524a6338ff72603ad14eb4986aac63b1cf81648c5bdb1269e9796
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clarkeof Massey, Clarke
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Massey | 53c | 1,740$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Clarke | 44c | 1,735$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…c1a7backed Clarke | 47c | 1,403$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Clarke | 57c | 1,089$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.76 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Massey | 30c | 795.25$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.14 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0719…8413backed Clarke | 50c | 110.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Massey | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d1…ef0dbacked Massey | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Massey | 51c | 70.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Massey | 74c | 63.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Clarke | 43c | 57.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +230.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Clarke | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +6.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Massey | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Clarke | 44c | 34.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Massey | 47c | 28.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…2a52backed Massey | 64c | 28.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…7bb6backed Massey | 50c | 23.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b6…072dbacked Clarke | 50c | 23.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…a5fabacked Massey | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Massey | 66c | 23.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff2c…c92bbacked Massey | 50c | 22.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d3…5a6bbacked Clarke | 50c | 22.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…7475backed Clarke | 50c | 21.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…bf3bbacked Massey | 50c | 21.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Massey | 70c | 21.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.