Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Goncalo Marques vs Andrea Colombo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bd23fd0ebb7e7bd9d5f400b8edb82e58820ce3e035c39284289cade64134874
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Goncalo Marquesof Goncalo Marques, Andrea Colombo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa032…2090backed Goncalo Marques | 53c | 3,000$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.59 | 1,545 | 51.5%795 W · 750 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Andrea Colombo | 37c | 2,028$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Andrea Colombo | 32c | 900$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 323 | 37.5%121 W · 202 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Goncalo Marques | 72c | 461.68$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 597 | 38.2%228 W · 369 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Goncalo Marques | 50c | 327$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.29 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Andrea Colombo | 42c | 267.04$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Andrea Colombo | 42c | 244.49$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.18 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Andrea Colombo | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 479 | 56.8%272 W · 207 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Andrea Colombo | 57c | 188$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 478 | 58.4%279 W · 199 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Goncalo Marques | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Goncalo Marques | 64c | 166.55$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Andrea Colombo | 48c | 150.86$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Andrea Colombo | 47c | 128$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 286 | 52.8%151 W · 135 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Andrea Colombo | 47c | 116.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Andrea Colombo | 50c | 109$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 517 | 57.4%297 W · 220 L | +31.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…b0b7backed Goncalo Marques | 77c | 102.4$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 106 | 77.4%82 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Andrea Colombo | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,575 | 46.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Andrea Colombo | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 415 | 54.7%227 W · 188 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8a…333fbacked Andrea Colombo | 63c | 101.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.37 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Andrea Colombo | 50c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Andrea Colombo | 50c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 462 | 51.7%239 W · 223 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6851…ec54backed Andrea Colombo | 63c | 94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Goncalo Marques | 50c | 86.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 737 | 38.8%286 W · 451 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Andrea Colombo | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Goncalo Marques | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 326 | 59.2%193 W · 133 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Goncalo Marques | 47c | 75.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Andrea Colombo | 50c | 72.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Goncalo Marques | 47c | 67.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Goncalo Marques | 30c | 66.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 792 | 49.1%389 W · 403 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Goncalo Marques | 57c | 61.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Goncalo Marques | 38c | 52.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 358 | 66.5%238 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10af…2d06backed Andrea Colombo | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…7226backed Andrea Colombo | 56c | 44.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Goncalo Marques | 64c | 41.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 805 | 58.6%472 W · 333 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Goncalo Marques | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 1,232 | 65.4%806 W · 426 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…9980backed Goncalo Marques | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Andrea Colombo | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…9994backed Andrea Colombo | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b67…07ddbacked Andrea Colombo | 40c | 28.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…2465backed Goncalo Marques | 59c | 27.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b2…5486backed Goncalo Marques | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 87 | 77%67 W · 20 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Andrea Colombo | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,013 | 53.8%545 W · 468 L | +35.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.