South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2d5bb96d2d37224446d135a05227da48fff6c1a00767641d47440d1695a3f56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 3,843$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.84 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 36c | 2,662$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.93 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 2,595$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.72 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed No | 62c | 2,154$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.49 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 15c | 1,899$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.85 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3ddcbacked No | 24c | 1,472$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.72 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 50c | 1,174$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.89 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 27c | 1,163$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.38 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 30c | 788.15$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.33 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 35c | 741.83$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.87 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 21c | 710$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.53 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Yes | 66c | 669$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.5 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 57c | 647.38$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.12 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 24c | 626.41$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.09 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…36f6backed Yes | 39c | 552$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.91 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 38c | 448.27$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.31 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 48c | 383.67$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.82 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 57c | 316.69$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.69 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 233.51$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.09 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…31fbbacked Yes | 76c | 225.66$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 28c | 216.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.7 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Yes | 46c | 213.04$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 38c | 197.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.37 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 62c | 185.14$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 72c | 155.87$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.13 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 46c | 152$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 74c | 152$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Yes | 62c | 141.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 69c | 125$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 32c | 123.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 36c | 112$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 30c | 112$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed No | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 103.45$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes | 75c | 90.92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 47c | 90.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 77c | 86.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 15c | 86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed No | 58c | 85.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9766…a41dbacked No | 14c | 72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +68%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 67c | 71.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 78c | 71.11$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 76c | 67.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 77c | 64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Yes | 31c | 62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 70c | 58.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 60c | 56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 43c | 55.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd34…7f2abacked No | 30c | 50.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 55c | 50.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 54c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 43c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…f571backed Yes | 38c | 48.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +146.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 54c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1451backed Yes | 35c | 40.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +182.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 37c | 39.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 58c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 45c | 36.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 54c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…cb83backed Yes | 46c | 32.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 65c | 30.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes | 63c | 30.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 54c | 27.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Yes | 75c | 22.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc6…fb63backed Yes | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Yes | 72c | 20.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 68c | 19.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 54c | 19.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 69c | 18.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Puebla win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Club Puebla vs. Club Santos Laguna end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.