South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Puebla vs. Club Santos Laguna end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5dac4fb8980e7d7dafd46d97bb2f814876eaddd3bb104f35b4af5408eb8eac1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 887$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.53 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 20c | 829.29$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.33 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 72c | 720.77$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.5 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…533fbacked No | 75c | 533.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 25c | 526.15$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.54 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 24c | 347.91$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.53 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 67c | 331.99$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.94 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…01e5backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 37c | 269.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 28c | 167.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…99b4backed Yes | 27c | 157.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 76c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed No | 73c | 136.4$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 14c | 129.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 68c | 126.53$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 76c | 112$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed No | 76c | 110$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 57c | 105.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 79c | 88.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 71c | 85.19$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 24c | 83.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 24c | 76.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 33c | 61.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 60.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 18c | 59.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 67c | 59.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 71c | 59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 25c | 51.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 76c | 35.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 72c | 34.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 76c | 30.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 60c | 26.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a85…3699backed No | 77c | 14.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Puebla vs. Club Santos Laguna end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Puebla win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
- Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.