South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x137afa43b32cef2e5a3c8503aef5028b03f88f0c85a34ae3d99aa0317c28fa53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Yes | 28c | 14,204$3,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,908.98 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 4,535$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.29 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 4,264$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.91 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 29c | 3,159$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.11 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 2,880$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.6 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 13c | 2,747$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.32 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 74c | 1,686$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.86 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 26c | 1,120$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.02 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed No | 69c | 853.42$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.63 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 22c | 757.61$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.53 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 25c | 698.24$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.93 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 8c | 603$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 25c | 542.97$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.17 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 71c | 510.11$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.93 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 74c | 505.52$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.55 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 7c | 484.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 28c | 463.64$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.82 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 24c | 458.46$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.95 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 23c | 366.54$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.93 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed No | 73c | 315$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed No | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 71c | 258.73$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 73c | 223.11$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 25c | 207.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 72c | 197$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 29c | 163.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 163.02$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 25c | 158$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 74c | 107$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 25c | 82.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Yes | 38c | 73.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 23c | 62.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 17c | 62.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 25c | 62.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb5…f397backed No | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 26c | 54.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 71c | 50.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 79c | 49.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 28c | 40.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd941…f923backed Yes | 29c | 36.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 61c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc6…fb63backed Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 74c | 28.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a85…3699backed No | 75c | 26.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 54c | 18.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Club Puebla vs. Club Santos Laguna end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Puebla win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.